Ethereum has recently seen a strong price increase, causing the investor community and analysts to once again question whether the market is approaching a critical point. Many experts are looking at previous cycles for signals, with some opinions suggesting that history may be repeating itself. If previous patterns continue to hold true, Ethereum may have only a few weeks left to reach its cycle peak, making the current moment a decisive period for investors to consider withdrawing.
Cycle Peak Signals – When to Sell?
Cryptocurrency analyst Jackis has shared insights on Ethereum's recent price behavior, suggesting a moment when investors might consider selling all their assets. According to Jackis, ETH's current price behavior largely reflects many characteristics from previous cycles.
Looking at the chart, Ethereum hit a significant cycle peak in January 2018 and followed it with another peak in November 2021. Both of these periods were preceded by strong price increases before experiencing deep corrections. However, this time, Ethereum has not broken the new historical peak yet, although it is currently approaching a critical resistance level.
According to the 4-year cycle theory, the current moment may only have about four weeks left for Ethereum to reach a new cycle peak. This moment falls in September, which is a crucial time for investors to reassess risks and consider 'selling everything' if necessary.
Jackis also emphasizes that, although the ETH price structure shows strength, most other altcoins are still lagging significantly. Coins like Binance Coin (BNB), XRP, or Dogecoin (DOGE) have set peaks since 2021 and are still much lower than their previous highs.
The price movements of these altcoins suggest that the reasonable price of ETH in the current context should only be around $2,200, compared to the current level below $4,500. Meanwhile, Bitcoin continues to set new highs and higher lows since the low in November 2022, showing a clear bullish market structure.
Panic Selling or Opportunity Before the Breakout?
Conversely, Ether Wizz argues that Ethereum's recent panic selling reflects the same mistake that investors made with Bitcoin in previous cycles. At that time, early sellers underestimated the demand from institutional investors and long-term holders, only to witness BTC prices rise far beyond expectations.
Ether Wizz points out that Ethereum has recently recovered above the 50-week SMA, an indicator that has previously signaled strong breakouts. Comparing the ETH chart for 2025 with the breakout in 2017 shows a clear similarity: in both cases, Ethereum went through a consolidation phase, regained the moving average, and then accelerated strongly.
Although ETH is likely to experience a short-term correction of 5%–10%, Ether Wizz emphasizes that it cannot yet be confirmed that this coin has peaked. Instead, Ethereum is still in the early stages of a potential price increase, which could push prices up to $10,000 in the future.
In summary, the current moment is extremely sensitive for ETH investors. Signs from previous cycles and technical indicators suggest that the market may be entering a decisive phase: on one side is the possibility of a quick peak, on the other is the opportunity before a potential breakout. Assessing risks and personal strategies will determine the final outcome for each investor.
