$BTC 📊 Current Picture

Price: 116,102 USDT

MA(7) = 115,880, MA(25) = 115,565, MA(99) = 115,296 → all moving averages below the price, bullish trend 🟢.

RSI(6) = 77.5 → overbought zone, possible pullback down.

Volume: sharp increase in recent candles, which may be a peak buying wave.

⚖️ Key levels $BTC

Resistance: 116,500 – 116,800 (if broken, the path to 117,200).

Support: 115,900 – 115,600 (coincides with MA7 and MA25). If lost – may drop to 115,200.

📈 Possible scenarios for today

1. Bullish 🐂

If volumes are maintained and BTC holds above 116,000, we could see 116,800–117,200.

2. Bearish 🐻

Due to RSI overbought condition, a pullback to 115,600–115,200 is possible. This will be a “healthy cooling” before new growth.

3. Base scenario ⚖️

Consolidation in the range of 115,600–116,800. Short impulses up/down, but without a global trend.

🚀 Trade Idea

Long: from 115,600–115,800 with a take profit at 116,600–116,800.

Short: only if the price breaks down below 115,600, target 115,200.

🔑 Conclusion: BTC is currently in a bullish impulse, but due to the high RSI, a short correction is very likely. The main play for today is to catch bounces off the support at 115,600.