$BTC $XRP $BNB

Let me summarize the picture for you in a focused and precise way ๐Ÿ‘‡

What happened in the July meeting (30/07/2025)

The interest rate remains at 4.25%โ€“4.50%.๐Ÿซด

Only two members wanted to lower it by 25 basis points โ†’ this means that the majority of the Fed is still cautious ๐Ÿซฃ

The statement indicated that the economy is "moderate" but inflation is "still a bit high".

What we are waiting for in August (Jackson Hole โ€“ around 22/08/2025)

This conference is very important because it gives signals for the upcoming policy with some adjustments in the political approach, possibly paving the way for the future.

If Powell (the head of the Fed) hints at a near interest rate cut in September โ†’ cryptocurrencies and stocks will rise.

If he confirms that inflation has not been defeated yet โ†’ the market could decline further.

Estimated probability

60% that Powell will remain cautious (not promising a quick cut) โ†’ short-term negative pressure on Bitcoin (may remain around 110Kโ€“115K).๐Ÿซด๐Ÿซด๐Ÿซด๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ‘€ Remember my words, for profit-taking and re-buying at a good ceiling.

40% that he hints at easing in September โ†’ a temporary recovery, possibly returning above 120K, which is unlikely because there must be fluctuations for profit-taking; there is no profit in a straight line in this field, there must be manipulations and continuous fluctuations.

๐Ÿ“Œ In short ๐Ÿซด๐Ÿ‘€ The markets are currently waiting for Jackson Hole more than anything else. It will determine the direction for September; in the end, this remains an opinion and a special move. Share your thoughts, champion ๐Ÿซด๐Ÿซด๐Ÿซด๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ‘€