At this moment, the market is still red. BTC fluctuates in the $114–118K area after falling from its peak; ETH, SOL, DOGE, XRP are also dragged down. A series of liquidations cuts traders who are late to hit the brakes. The source is clear: US producer inflation (PPI) is hotter → interest rate cut chances drop → risk-off pressures crypto.
Two narratives pulling each other:
Macro risk-off: PPI pressures cut expectations; the market looks to Jackson Hole (August 21–23) and Powell's tone. DXY stable, risk assets cautious.
Crypto internal rotation: BTC dominance slips <60%—historically this often opens up alt outperformance space, but the volatility is savage. Random entry = fresh meat for liquidation.
The side that makes you hesitant: fund flows into ETH ETF are still strong; since last week, ETH inflows have outpaced BTC for several consecutive days. This means the fundamental demand for majors is not broken—but execution must be patient.
Another not-so-sweet real-time fact: flush scale continues; last 24 hours report mentions hundreds of millions up to > $1 billion in liquidations in derivatives. This is an ego shredder, not a hero stage.
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Solution (cold & cruel, but effective)
1. Wait for retest + volume, not false bounces.
For BTC, weekly working zone: $114.6K–$118.5K (range monitored by major exchanges). Break & hold above mid-range + volume = go. If it fails, let the liquidation machine work first.
2. Read 3 meters before pressing the button:
Funding & OI: easing → long squeeze pressure decreases. Still high → don’t become the next victim.
BTC.D: continues to decline while alt volume rises → choose high-beta majors (SOL/ETH) after a higher-low is formed; if BTC.D rebounds, go back to BTC/hedge.
Macro calendar: Ahead of Jackson Hole, treat every spike as a liquidity tap, not an all-in invitation.
3. Execution tactic 'patient predator':
Spot-ladder 3–4 levels below the current price (not one shot), stop below the last daily structure.
Futures max 3–5x; target 1:2–1:3 per leg, scale-out gradually.
Majors focus: BTC/ETH for direction; SOL only after structure confirmation (don’t chase green).
4. Don't get tempted by a single headline.
Example: there’s a corporation adding BTC treasury (bullish narrative), but the effect is overshadowed by PPI & Fed-watch. Micro narratives cannot overcome the macro hammer when volatility peaks.
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Short Advice You Need, Not What You Want
> If you feel you 'have' to enter now, it’s your emotions asking, not your data.
Big money buys quietly—not drama.
#MarketNow #BTC #ETH #AltcoinWatch #JacksonHole #RiskManagement
Disclaimer: Not an investment invitation. Position discipline, DYOR, and prepare an exit plan before entering.