The crypto world is not a casino, but a protracted battle. After five liquidations, I finally understood: here, living long is more important than making money quickly. Those who have doubled their investments often cannot survive the bear market, while true survivors rely on a solid set of practical methods.

1. Capital Protection: The 1% Rule locks in risk.

In 2022, I used 300,000 to trade contracts, setting a single stop loss of 5%, and after 3 liquidations, only 20,000 was left. The bloody lesson taught me: the risk per trade must never exceed 1% of the capital.

  • Algorithm Formula: Maximum single loss = total capital × 1%. For example, with a capital of 100,000, the maximum loss per trade is 1,000.
    If trading BTC contracts (stop loss 3%, 10x leverage), position = 1000 ÷ (3% × 10) ≈ 3333, not a penny more.

  • Positioning strategy: Divide total capital into 5 parts, 3 parts for trend trades (medium to long-term), and 2 parts for swing trades (short-term). Stop trend trades if you lose 1 part, and stop swing trades if you lose 2 consecutive times. In the 2023 bear market, I managed to preserve 70% of my capital with this strategy, while those who went all-in have long disappeared.

2. Double stop-loss insurance: Technical + capital safeguards.

Don’t stop loss based on feeling; a double mechanism must be established:

  • Technical stop loss:

    • Trend trades: Cut if the 4-hour line drops below MA20 (for example, BTC long, if the 4-hour closes below MA20, must liquidate).

    • Swing trades: Use the ATR indicator, stop loss = 2 × ATR (for example, ATR500, stop loss 1000, filtering noise).

  • Capital stop loss: If losses reach 1% of total capital, cut immediately. Last year, the SOL long position technically did not break, but when losses reached 1.2%, I cut hard, and the next day it dropped by 15% — this is the foresight of capital stop loss.

  • Execute harsh measures: Use the exchange's 'conditional order' to set stop losses in advance, set it up at the time of order, letting the system help control your hands.

3. Position adjustment: Keep 30% cash in both bull and bear markets.

At the peak of the 2021 bull market, I was fully invested in altcoins and lost 80% in the bear market. Now I realize: always keep 30% cash, this is the key to surviving through bull and bear markets.

  • Bull Market Formula: Position = (Current Price ÷ Historical High) × 100%.
    Example: BTC currently at 50,000, previous high at 69,000, position = 5 ÷ 69 ≈ 72%, avoiding chasing the top. When BTC rises to 58,000 in May 2024, I reduce my position to 65% according to the formula, and when it retraces to 49,000, the cash just allows me to increase my position.

  • Bear Market Formula: Position = (Historical Low ÷ Current Price) × 30%.
    Example: BTC currently at 30,000, previous low at 15,000, position = (1.5 ÷ 3) × 30% = 15%, small layout for lower points. During the worst time in the 2022 bear market, I maintained a 10% position, missing neither the rebound nor cutting losses at the bottom.

  • Adjustment signal: Weekly MACD golden cross, increase position by 10% for every 10% increase; dead cross, decrease position by 10% for every 10% decrease. Mechanical operation avoids emotional interference.

4. Market filtering: Filter out 90% of ineffective fluctuations.

The crypto market moves every day, but 90% of the market movements are not worth participating in. I use 'three-cycle resonance' to only act 20 times a year:

  • Trend filtering: Only trade in the direction of the weekly line. Only go long when the weekly MA5 is above MA20, and vice versa, only go short, stay out during sideways movements. In 2023, I stayed out for 8 months while watching others lose everything in the fluctuations.

  • Strength filtering: Trading volume must increase by 1.5 times. No matter how good the candlestick looks, if there's no volume, it's fake. Last November, when SOL broke the previous high, the trading volume was 2.3 times the average of the previous 3 days, so I entered and made money; in December, when the volume was 0.8 times, I passed, and it was indeed a trap.

  • Timing filtering: Only enter in a bull market at the beginning/middle of the month (when capital is loose), and only enter in a bear market at the end of the quarter (institutions may rebalance for a rebound), avoid the 3 days before and after delivery (prone to 'spike'). At the end of March 2024, the altcoins I positioned averaged a 40% increase.

5. Emotional management: Use a table to replace the brain.

The key to surviving in the crypto world is to turn trading into a 'production line'. I use an execution table to standardize decision-making, regardless of how excited I get, I must follow the table.

Last year, ETH longs made a profit of 60%, I was greedy and didn't want to reduce, but the execution table required me to sell half. Later, it indeed retraced by 30%, and thanks to this table, I preserved my profits — it isn’t a constraint, it helps you combat human weaknesses.

6. Bear market survival: Uncommon operations to get through difficulties.

Those who survived the bear market understand these three tricks:

  • Switch to BTC: In a bear market, BTC drops the least and rebounds the fastest. In 2022, I converted 80% of my altcoins to BTC, only losing 20%; friends who were fully invested in altcoins averaged a 70% loss.

  • Options insurance: For every 20% drop, spend 1% of capital to buy call options. When BTC dropped to 16,000 in 2023, I spent 5,000 on options, and when it rebounded to 24,000, I made a profit of 30,000, offsetting most of my losses.

  • Reduce frequency: Frequent operations in a bear market = giving away money. In 2022, I only acted once a month, saving 80% on fees, equivalent to earning an extra 8% on my capital.

7. Accelerated rolling: The core logic of violent profits.

Last year, I turned 28,000 into 3.7 million through three rollovers; the core was 'precise identification of opportunities + daring to place heavy bets', but 90% of people cannot bear it:

  • The key to making big money: seize 3 opportunities in a year (after a 70% crash, sideways for 3 months, breaking key weekly levels, market panic reversal), and catching one can multiply your capital by 10.

  • Three taboos of rolling positions: fear of loss (running after a 20% rise), mindless leverage (10x all-in), excessive trading (wanting to roll every week).

  • Practical Steps:
    Building positions: Choose BTC/ETH/SOL (large market cap), initial position not exceeding 20%, leaving 80% for key levels;
    Scaling in: Break previous highs + trading volume doubling, increase position by 30%;
    Exiting: Sell half if it drops below the 7-day line, sell all if it breaks the 14-day line.

8. Contract precautions: See the traps clearly before acting.

Are you losing money on contracts? Because you haven't seen through these traps:

  • The essence is gambling: your profit comes from others' losses, and the exchange is the dealer.

  • Funding rate trap: Rate > 0.1% for 3 consecutive times, don’t go long (the exchange wants to harvest the longs); rate < 0, don’t go short.

  • Forced liquidation trick: The actual liquidation price is closer to the theoretical value because the exchange charges high forced liquidation fees.

  • Leverage costs: 100x leverage not only amplifies profits but also incurs fees and funding costs. Holding a position for over 4 hours is bound to be harvested by fees — high leverage is only suitable for short-term sniping.

Conclusion: Acknowledge the ordinary to live longer.

The deadliest illusion in the crypto world is 'I am smarter than others'. After 5 liquidations, I accepted: I can't catch every market wave; I can only rely on dumb methods — strict capital management, mechanical execution, and staying out 90% of the time.

Currently, my account does not have the myth of making 10 times a year, but it is steadily increasing every year. Those who mocked me for being 'conservative' have mostly vanished. Remember: the survival rule in the crypto world is not to attack, but to defend. If you survive until the next bull market, even earning 20% a year through compound interest can lead to success.


Finally, here’s a 'Survival Dashboard': Every day at market open, look at three numbers — Total capital drawdown over 5%? More than 3 trades this week? Violated the execution table? Only days where all standards are met count as qualified trading days.

How many people have lost to despair in fluctuations? Countless!

The layout for the next wave has already been drawn, with points, rhythm, and positions clearly marked. Mixing with @币来财888 isn’t the way; just recognize one principle: precise sniping, no wasted effort.

But let me be clear: only bring those with strong execution.

It's the kind of person who doesn't curse when prices drop, doesn't get greedy when they rise, and can steadily execute.

It's the kind of person who knows opportunities don't wait for anyone, and wants to jump in right away, rather than waiting to pat their thighs when prices rise.

Market conditions don't wait, and opportunities are lost for those who are slow.

If you want to follow and grab this wave of meat, don’t hesitate, come now —

After all, those who can survive in the market and still profit have always been the ones who dare to reach out first.

Are you ready?