📈 ETH/USDT Daily Analysis — Momentum Holds, Longs Still Favored
Ethereum is currently trading at 4,506.18 USDT, up +1.87% on the day. After a brief pullback from 4,788, ETH is stabilizing above support and showing signs of continuation.
🔍 Trend Structure:
- EMA(34): 3,785.09
- EMA(89): 3,200.09
- EMA(146): 2,962.76
- EMA(200): 2,904.60
ETH remains well above all major EMAs — confirming a strong bullish trend. The recent higher low near 4,393.98 reinforces the structure.
📊 Momentum Indicators:
- MACD: Bullish (DIF 300.68 > DEA 277.26, MACD 23.42)
- RSI(6): 66.03 — moderately strong
MACD shows sustained momentum, and RSI near 66 suggests ETH has room to climb without being overbought.
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📈 Long vs Short Sentiment & Win Probability (via CoinGlass)
- Long/Short Ratio (Accounts): 58.7% Long vs 41.3% Short
- Top Traders Long/Short (Positions): 61.2% Long vs 38.8% Short
- Win Probability Estimate:
- Longs: ~60% chance of winning
- Shorts: ~40% chance of winning
💡 Interpretation:
Majority of traders — especially top accounts — are positioned long. This suggests confidence in further upside. However, if ETH fails to break 4,788, short-term traders may take profits, increasing volatility.
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📌 Key Levels:
- Resistance: 4,788 → 4,882
- Support: 4,393 → 4,200 → 3,785 (EMA34)
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⚖️ Summary:
- ✅ Trend: Bullish above EMAs
- 🔄 Sentiment: Long-biased (60% win probability)
- ⚠️ Momentum: Strong but approaching resistance
- 📉 If ETH breaks below 4,393, short setups may gain traction
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