I monitor TREE's movement moment by moment, and today (August 17, 2025) I present the following picture:
Spot price: ~$0.368.
24-hour range: from $0.3645 to $0.3811.
7-day performance: nearly -14.8% with a weekly range between $0.3459 and **$0.4392**.
Circulating supply ~156.12M, market cap ~$57.5M, fully diluted value (FDV) ~$368M.
All-time high (ATH): around $1.35–$1.36 on July 29, 2025.
All-time low (ATL): around $0.342 on August 15, 2025.
🌟 Price map (support/resistance)
I build levels on the last clear highs and lows, and on Fibonacci ratios between the 7-day low (~$0.346) and the 7-day high (~$0.439):
Supports
S1: $0.365–$0.366 — last daily floor (24-hour low). Breaking it opens the appetite for a retest for the weekly.
S2: $0.345–$0.346 — repeating weekly low.
S3: $0.342 — last historical low (early warning zone if a clear break occurs).
Resistances
R1: $0.379–$0.381 — 24-hour ceiling and consistent with Fibonacci 38.2% for the week's movement.
R2: $0.390–$0.402 — 50%–61.8% Fibonacci range for the same wave (from $0.346 to $0.439).
R3: $0.439 — 7-day peak and strategically most important before higher targets.
R4: ~$0.607 — notable volatility peak recorded by the movement with significant news about ~16 days ago; remains a medium/high resistance on the way.
> Fibonacci note (brief calculation):
Weekly range ≈ $0.439 – $0.346 = $0.093.
38.2% ≈ $0.346 + 0.093×0.382 ≈ $0.379,
50% ≈ $0.346 + 0.093×0.5 ≈ $0.390,
61.8% ≈ $0.346 + 0.093×0.618 ≈ $0.402.
These levels practically intersect with today’s and this week’s peaks/troughs, increasing their credibility.
🌟Momentum and volatility reading
The narrow daily range (between 0.3645 and 0.3811) suggests short accumulation, but the 7-day drop still presses on the larger frame so far.
The price's current distance of about +7–8% from the recent historical low means any new break below it has potential accelerating effects (late liquidation and negative sentiment), while regaining the $0.381 area then $0.390 could ignite a technical rebound towards $0.402 and **$0.439**.
🟣Operational scenarios
Positive scenario (Bullish Reclaim):
I don't consider the movement bullish unless a 4-hour candle closes above $0.381, and preferably confirmed above $0.390.
Then I target successively $0.402 → $0.439, with a stop loss below $0.372–$0.374 (just above S1 to invalidate the false break).
Neutral to negative scenario (Range / Fade):
As long as the price is below $0.381, I treat the movement as a sideways range leaning towards pressure.
Any close below $0.365 opens the door for a test of $0.350–$0.346, and a clear break exposes $0.342 (historical low) for a revisit.
Risk management as I personally adhere to:
Risk/return of at least 1:2.
I don't enter at the midpoint; either at support with confirmation or after a successful break + retest.
I stagger the exit: one-third at R1, one-third at R2, and the final third at $0.439 with the stop loss moved to the entry level.
A quick fundamental angle that technically affects (why do I care about it?)
Token economy: circulating supply ~156M against a max of 1B; a significant gap that makes me always watch for any releases/releases that may pressure prices later (gap between market cap and FDV).
Protocol identity: the project builds a layer of fixed income through tAssets and DOR; events/releases related to these components can create pivotal peaks/troughs (as seen in the movement at the beginning of the month).
🍀Summary of the day
I handle TREE as follows:
Above $0.381: I lean towards a technical rebound scenario towards $0.402 → $0.439.
Below $0.365: I prepare for the possibility of an extended drop to test $0.346, and with its break, I quickly reassess at $0.342.
As long as we are between $0.365–$0.381, I consider it a neutral/accumulation zone and avoid rushing.
> All the numbers and limits above are based on today's data from official price pages and daily/weekly/historical range summaries. I verified the values (price, 24-hour range, 7-day range, ATH/ATL, supply, and market values) before formulating the levels.