🔮 Trade Map – XRP/USDT
💰 Current Price: $3.117 (from your chart)
📊 Entry Zone
First Buy: $3.08 – $3.12 (near MA(7) ≈ 3.11; dip absorption zone)
Main Accumulation: $2.96 – $3.02 (prior base + liquidity pocket)
Safety Net: $2.85 – $2.90 (last demand before breakdown)
⛔ Stop Loss
$2.80 (structure invalidation below range)
🎯 Profit Targets
T1: $3.28 (range top / recent supply)
T2: $3.45 (swing high cluster)
T3: $3.65 (measured move if breakout expands)
⚖️ Risk/Reward
~1:3 (from mid-entry to T3 with SL at $2.80)
🕯️ Candles — What They Mean (4H)
Small bodies + long lower wicks around $3.05–$3.10 → absorption of sell-offs; smart money likely reloading.
Price is pinched between MA(7) ≈ 3.11 and MA(25) ≈ 3.20, while above MA(99) ≈ 3.07 → bullish coil.
Repeated upper-wick rejections at $3.20–$3.22 → that’s the gate; a 4H close above $3.22 on rising volume should unlock T1 quickly.
Diminishing volume after the last spike → volatility compression before expansion.
📌 Strategy Insight
Plan A (range buy): Scale in $3.08–$3.12, add on strength.
Plan B (breakout): Add size on a 4H close > $3.22 with volume; trail stop first under $3.00, then under $3.12 after confirmation.
Invalidation: A decisive 4H close < $2.80 or loss of MA(99) → step aside and watch $2.73–$2.75 for a fresh setup.