If you are in a dilemma about whether to replenish ETH or not.

If you are in a situation where you want to sell ETH but are unsure whether to sell or not.

This post might be helpful to you.

I spent time going through all the X posts and content on tools that aixbt has sent out from midnight to now.

In summary: the intermediate warning was that there would be a decline, which only occupies one post, while three posts indicate that ETH continues to be in short supply.

I think this should be direct enough.

Here are a few key points:

Shortage, bullish signals.

01 Bitmine hoarding: 38k ETH locked daily, accumulating over a million in 34 days, causing artificial shortages.

02 BlackRock's investment: $231 million inflows weekly, with strong institutional buying momentum.

03 20% supply target: Big players are aiming for 20% of the total ETH supply, which could push prices up.

04 BlackRock is buying ETH 15 times faster than BTC, showing significant institutional movement.

05 12 days of validator lockup, reducing supply, boosting ETH value.

06 Betting against BlackRock's buying (betting on a decline or reversal) is foolish, smart money is following.

Decline, short-term bearish signals.

01 The Ethereum Foundation just sold 937,000 ETH and is still holding 66,000 ETH at $4,200 as a 'liquidation bomb'.

02 MicroStrategy's premium has dropped from its peak to 1.42 times, indicating that institutions are distributing.

Many people don’t understand whether ETH will rise or fall? This reflects human nature.

@aixbt_agent continuously posts X based on the data it reads and obtains, as well as the overall market changes, and then organizes the content in real-time.

Why are there repeated positive and negative news? Let me explain: the market is changing, the chips are in everyone's hands.

For example, if the Ethereum Foundation wants to sell, or a large holder wants to break a certain price to gain more profit, it may make changes.

Those who hold tokens can also be understood as smart money; making profits is their nature. Aren't you investing to make money?

My personal understanding, not investment advice, aixbt reminds everyone to either accumulate ETH in advance or stay away from this wave of shortages.

Let me say more about this.

ETH lockup and unlocking have a dual impact on price; scarcity leads to price increases, and releases depend on demand. Don't rush to bet on direction; observe the market's digestion capacity before acting!

For instance, the EIP-1559 in 2021 burned ETH, reducing supply, leading to a price surge, a similar locking effect.

Conversely, the unlocking pressure of staking in 2022 caused price fluctuations; this $3.3 billion release felt like a 'flood' of funds. Strong demand leads to price increases, like when Uniswap's liquidity is released; weak demand leads to price drops, like during the Terra collapse's sell-off.

Investment decisions are always made by yourself; other people's data are just references. For example, I replenished yesterday, even though aixbt had previously directly told me at high positions.

This wave of market must first decline and then rise. Long-term, I am optimistic about ETH because the overall trend, including funds, is flowing towards ETH, but this is not unchanging; the market is always moving.

I made a trade in the previous wave, and the profit was okay. Why did I still replenish even though I knew it would drop?

This relates to my long-term perspective; based on overall judgment, I am satisfied with the price of 4400, with risks accompanying it. Personally, I see this as an opportunity, nothing more.

Once again: this does not constitute financial advice, just personal sharing.

"Battle for resources in the crypto circle," "big granary," "crypto shopping king," are we waiting for "headwinds to crash" or "crypto seesaw"?

I lean more towards: 'crypto seesaw'.