Some friends said they didn't understand the previously discussed "three-stage operation". Here, I will take the trend of $FUN as an example to break it down, so everyone can understand it more clearly. It can actually be observed in these several stages:

Stage One: Violent Surge + High-Level Consolidation

The main force will first create a large bullish candle, directly pushing the cryptocurrency to the market's focus position. During this stage, ordinary investors basically have no opportunity to enter the market, and the subsequent high-level consolidation is essentially the main force 'setting the stage'.

The core purpose of the consolidation is to attract retail investors to short at high levels - the main force neither continues to push up to let the shorts stop out, nor falls to let the shorts profit; they are consuming time. The longer the shorts hold their positions, the more funding fees they incur, and their mindset can easily collapse first.

Stage Two: Consolidation + Funding Rate Signals

When you see two key signals, it indicates that the main force is absorbing the opposing positions: first, the funding rate rises rapidly, second, the settlement cycle is gradually shortened from 8 hours to 4 hours, 2 hours, or even 1 hour.

From practical experience, entering at this stage has about a 70% probability of making a profit the next day. A common trend is: after the main force pulls up another large bullish candle, they continue to consolidate, not giving chase opportunities, while allowing the shorts to continue holding their positions and incurring funding fees, further amplifying the pressure on the opposing positions.

Stage Three: Slow Rise + Psychological Warfare

This stage is no longer a violent surge, but a gradual, step-by-step slow push up.

The slow rise is most likely to attract observing retail investors to enter the market, while the main force quietly completes the chip handover. Once they have blown up the shorts, they often will directly crash the market, and it could even lead to a sudden halving.

After the crash, there will also be a wave of rebound consolidation: this action is not to sell at high levels, but to make the price after the drop look "very cheap", attracting bottom-fishing positions to enter the market - this is the main force's true selling window.

The main force's operation rhythm is actually very clear: first, forcibly create an upward trend to attract attention → consume retail investors' patience with funding rates and consolidation → slowly pull the market to complete the chip handover → crash the market to harvest both long and short positions → finally attract bottom-fishing at low levels to complete the selling.

This logic is theoretically not complex, but in practice, it requires real-time monitoring, and the rhythm is very fast; it’s impossible to clearly indicate specific cryptocurrencies. However, based on this logic, my win rate can stabilize around 70%-75%.

If you have read this far, I suggest going back and reviewing the original text quoted earlier; understanding it together will provide deeper insights. $BTC $ETH