### **Trade Analysis: ICP/USDT**

#### **1. Stop-Loss Level**

- **Short-Term Stop-Loss:** **$5.44** (below MAS level, recent support)

- **Aggressive Stop-Loss:** **$5.30** (psychological level, below minor swing low)

- **Conservative Stop-Loss:** **$5.20** (stronger support zone if volatility increases)

#### **2. Target with Risk-Reward Ratio**

- **Risk:** Entry (~$5.458) to Stop-Loss ($5.44) = **$0.018 (0.33% risk)**

- **Reward (1:2 RRR):** **$5.50** (minor resistance)

- **Reward (1:3 RRR):** **$5.53** (next swing high)

- **Extended Target (if bullish momentum):** **$5.60–$5.70** (previous resistance)

#### **3. Chart Pattern & Price Action Logic**

- **Bearish Momentum:** Price is down **-0.02%**, MACD is negative (-0.04814), suggesting weakening momentum.

- **Resistance at $6.317 (left arrow)**, now rejected.

- **MAS at $5.440** acting as support—break below could trigger further downside.

- **Possible Descending Triangle (if lower highs form)**, increasing bearish probability.

#### **4. Probability of Profit**

- **Moderate (50-60%)** – MACD is bearish, but MAS is holding.

- **If MAS ($5.44) breaks, probability shifts to 70% downside.**

- **If price holds and reverses above $5.50, bullish case strengthens.**

### **Trade Plan Summary**

- **Short below $5.44** (with stop at $5.50).

- **Long above $5.50** (with stop at $5.40).

- **Watch MACD crossover for confirmation.**

Would you like additional indicators (RSI, volume) for higher conviction?