pepe analysis guys Based on the four TradingView screenshots of PEPE/USDT from August 17, 2025, here's a combined technical and fundamental analysis:

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Technical Analysis

1. Price Action & Trend:

· Current price: $0.00001110 (flat to marginally bullish, +0.09% in most screens).

· Long-term downtrend: Charts show consistent lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL):

· Peaked at $0.00002800** (July 2024) → Current **$0.00001110 (-60% decline).

· Resistance: Strong sell walls near $0.00001400–$0.00001500 (tested multiple times).

· Support: Weak at $0.00001000; no established base formed.

· Recent consolidation: Price compressed between $0.00001109–$0.00001111 (extremely tight range), indicating indecision.

2. Order Book & Liquidity:

· Immediate resistance: Sell orders stacked at $0.00001110–$0.00001111.

· Support bids: Thin buy orders at $0.00000001 (symbolic, negligible liquidity).

· Low liquidity exacerbates volatility risk.

3. Chart Patterns:

· Descending channel visible (lower highs since May 2025).

· No reversal signals: Absence of bullish divergence, breakout attempts, or volume surges.

4. Timeframes:

· Daily/Weekly charts: Dominant bearish structure (lower highs since 2024).

· Intraday: Sideways movement (compression before potential breakout).

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Fundamental Analysis

1. Meme Coin Dynamics:

· PEPE lacks intrinsic value; driven purely by hype/sentiment.

· High correlation with BTC/ETH: Dependent on broader crypto bull runs.

· No utility: No ecosystem, partnerships, or real-world use cases.

2. Market Sentiment (2025 Context):

· Crypto bear market: Persistent since 2024 (based on price trajectory).

· Regulatory uncertainty likely suppressing speculative assets like PEPE.

3. Risks:

· Extreme volatility: Low liquidity amplifies price swings.

· Whale dominance: Single large holder can manipulate prices.

· Competition: Newer meme coins divert attention/capital.

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Key Takeaways

1. Short-term:

· Break above $0.00001111 could trigger short-term scalps (low conviction).

· Breakdown below $0.00001000** risks crash to **$0.00000800 (next support).

2. Long-term:

· Strongly bearish without fundamental catalysts.

· Recovery requires:

· Bitcoin bull run + meme coin resurgence.

· Viral social media hype (e.g., Elon Musk tweet).

3. Volume Warning:

· Absence of volume data in screenshots suggests low participation – weak momentum.

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Actionable Advice

· Avoid long positions: No technical/fundamental justification for entry.

· If holding: Set tight stop-loss at $0.00001000.

· Monitor BTC dominance: PEPE only viable during altcoin seasons.

· Wait for confirmation: Break above $0.00001500 (resistance) to reconsider.

$SOL

$BTC

F$XRP #LaunchpadWars inal Verdict: High-risk asset in a structural downtrend. Capital preservation > speculative bets.$