1. SOL Technical analysis: oscillation waiting for breakout, signals hidden here.

First, look at the K-line and indicators: the short-term 1-hour level is showing oscillation and upward movement, rebounding to 189.27 after holding the low of 185.2, just shy of breaking the previous high of 189.65; the daily chart is more interesting, with a long lower shadow on August 15 (lowest at 183.3), followed by two consecutive bullish days, indicating clear buying pressure entering.


In technical indicators, the 1-hour MACD has a golden cross (DIF crossing above DEA), with the histogram turning red, suggesting short-term bullish activity; however, the daily MACD is still converging at a high level (5.06 vs 3.67), so a pullback must be guarded against. As for RSI, the 1-hour is neutral to strong (53.86), and the daily has exited the overbought zone (56.56), so the direction still needs confirmation. The moving averages provide a clearer picture: the 1-hour is stable above EMA7 (188.59) and EMA30 (188.55), while on the daily, EMA7 (187.31) has crossed above EMA30 (178.0), indicating that the medium-term trend is not deteriorating.
The trading volume also has its nuances: the 1-hour rebound volume is tepid (for example, it was only 45,540 when breaking 189.27), so caution is needed without explosive volume; on the daily, there was a massive drop with high volume on August 15 (4,360,287), followed by a rebound with decreased volume the next day (2,036,562). The bears have temporarily weakened, but the bulls have not fully rallied yet.

2. Solayer logic: giving SOL a new 'engine', breaking performance ceilings.

SOL can surge from $8 to $298, with the core logic being its performance in handling how many users can operate simultaneously. Now, Solayer is directly targeting the Solana 'engine': utilizing InfiniBand RDMA technology, which is typically found in supercomputers, nodes transmit data without packaging, directly 'copying in memory', reducing latency from milliseconds to microseconds; in software, the SVM is divided into independent modules for 'signature - scheduling - storage', running on dedicated hardware—equivalent to disassembling and optimizing a car's engine and transmission, breaking through performance limits.


This approach has already yielded results: through 're-staking', SOL earns both verification fees and application revenue sharing, attracting 270,000 users and locking up $350 million. Binance has included it in the BNSOL super staking program, issuing 1.6 million $LAYER daily, essentially betting that it can make the Solana ecosystem 'run faster'.
(LAYER has a simple profile: a total supply of 1 billion, managing governance and collecting fees. However, there are two risks to watch: a large unlock of 12.74% in December 2026 could crash the price; coordinating with chip manufacturers for hardware deployment is more challenging than pure software. But once it succeeds, the SOL ecosystem can accommodate payments, AI, and IoT, and LAYER will be the 'entry ticket').

3. Operational strategy: Technical analysis + new logic resonance, this is how trades are made.

(1) Bullish approach (gambling on a breakout)

  • Buying point:

    1. First support level 187.00 USDT: near the previous low + EMA30 (188.55), a buy opportunity on pullback;

    2. Second defense line 185.50 USDT: at the integer level + above the daily lower shadow at 183.3, offering stronger defense.

  • Stop loss: 184.50 USDT (if it falls below the previous low of 183.3, confirming a bearish trend, exit decisively).

  • Take profit:

    1. First resistance level 189.50 USDT: at the integer level + just below the previous 1-hour high of 189.65, take profit in the selling pressure zone;

    2. Second target 191.00 USDT: potential pullback high point from the daily MACD dead cross, gambling on peak sentiment.

(2) Bearish approach (guarding against pullback risks).

  • Entry point: If the price rebounds weakly, a light short position can be tested if it falls below 187.00 (must be combined with shrinking volume signals).

  • Stop loss: 192.50 USDT (if it breaks above the previous daily high of 192.47, indicating a trend reversal, stop loss and concede).

  • Take profit: Watch the range of 185.50 - 184.50, gambling on pullback space.

4. Key summary: Technical oscillation waiting for directional selection, Solayer logic adds fuel to the fire.

The current technical state of SOL is 'oscillating to find a breakout', and the performance revolution logic brought by Solayer is akin to adding fuel to the bulls—once the technicals break out above the previous high (189.65 - 192.47), combined with ecological expectations, it is likely to generate a strong trend. However, note that the daily MACD has not completely turned strong, and in the short term, there could still be a pullback to confirm support (in the 185 - 187 range).


In terms of operation, conservative traders should wait for a breakout and then confirm a pullback before entering; aggressive traders can lightly position in support zones to test long positions with strict stop losses. Remember: Solayer is a long-term logic, while technical analysis is short-term rhythm; only when both resonate is it the true opportunity for SOL to break through its consolidation!
(Let's discuss in the comments: do you think SOL can break the previous high this time?)#ETH
#solana