2025 Cryptocurrency Survival Guide: The Real Rules to Catch the Bull Market with a 'Basket'

Student Xiao Wang cried to me last year: 'Following KOLs and heavily investing in altcoins, I lost 80,000 U in three months, now I can't even pay the rent.

'Now he shakes his head at the 32,000 U balance in his account—if only he had learned the 'Basket Theory' earlier, he wouldn't have been harvested by contract leverage.

Key Point: There is a high probability of a strong bull market in the second half of 2025, but whether you can catch the wealth depends on the 'basket' (available capital) in your hands.

According to my model projection, Bitcoin is very likely to hit the 120,000-180,000 USD range, while mainstream coins like Ethereum and SOL have a more than 70% chance of doubling. But relying on them to earn 5 times? The probability is less than 15%.

Key Strategy:

Capital Control: Even if you are optimistic, the position of a single variety should not exceed 15% of the total funds.

Last year, when BTC was fluctuating around 62,000 USD, we used 8% of our capital to position ourselves, and in three days we captured a 9% profit. Sell Discipline: After Bitcoin rises to 150,000 USD, reduce the position by 20% for every additional 20,000 USD increase.

Altcoins may surge dramatically in the last 45 days of a bull market, but you must initiate staggered profit-taking after a rise of over 200% to manage volatility: Bitcoin's intraday volatility may reach 4%, while altcoins may exceed 15%.

Last week, a certain altcoin surged 80% in 24 hours, but retraced 35% the next day; without strict rules, it's impossible to hold on.

If you have just joined the cryptocurrency space, it is advisable to only invest a few hundred U to test the waters; if you make a profit, it's luck, and if you lose, it won't hurt too much.

In the future, the cryptocurrency market will be like the 24-hour U.S. stock market, with even crazier volatility.

But don't be brainwashed by the 'eternal bull market'; market cycles have never disappeared.

Now, there are less than 5 months until the peak of the bull market; here we only discuss actionable strategies and only involve players who can control their desires.

Remember: A bull market is not a money printing machine, but a mirror—revealing your greed and your discipline.