🚀 Ethereum (ETH) Today's Operation Guide | 4,448 Key Watershed!
📌 Current Price: 4,448** (≈¥32,000)
📈 **Short-term Target**: **4,700 → 4,866 (All-time High)**
📉 **Key Support**: **4,300 (Intraday Defense) → $4,200 (Strong Support)
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🔍 Today's Market Dynamics
✅ Technical Analysis:
· Uptrend: ETH is still in an uptrend channel, but RSI is close to 70 (Overbought), short-term pullback may occur.
· Key Resistance: 4,700 (Recent High) → 4,866 (All-time High).
· Key Support: 4,300 (20-day Moving Average) → 4,200 (50-day Moving Average).
✅ Capital Flow:
· ETF Inflows: Cumulative net inflow of 3 billion in August, institutions continue to increase positions.
· Exchange Inventory at New Low: Only 8.9 million ETH available for trading, over 32 million staked, supply tightening.
✅ Market Sentiment:
· Fear & Greed Index: Neutral to Weak, short-term pullback pressure increasing.
· Whale Movement: Large funds are still accumulating, but short-term profit-taking may cause volatility.
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🎯 Today's Trend Prediction (3 Possibilities)
1️⃣ Bullish (50%): Stabilize at 4,450 → Test 4,700 → 4,866 (Breakthrough New High).
2️⃣ **Consolidation (30%)**: Range trading between 4,300-4,600, waiting for new funds to enter.
3️⃣ **Pullback (20%)**: Break below 4,300 → Test 4,200 (Strong Support).
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💡 Today's Operation Strategy (Beginner Version)
✔️ Short-term (Intraday Trading):
· Bottom Fishing: Buy lightly at 4,350-4,400, **Stop Loss 4,300**, Target 4,600 (Reduce Position) → 4,700 (Fully Close).
· Breakout Follow-up: Increase position if it breaks 4,700 with volume, Target 4,866.
· High Sell: Short at 4,650-4,700, Stop Loss 4,750, Target 4,450.
✔️ Long-term (1-6 Months):
· Regular Investment: Fixed monthly purchases, Target 7,500-15,000 (Institutional Forecast).
· Major Pullback Buy Point: If it drops to 4,000-4,200, build positions in batches.
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⚠️ Risk Warning
🔸 Short-term Pullback: RSI Overbought, may retest 4,300 support.
🔸 Regulatory Risk: SEC may strengthen regulation on DeFi, affecting ETH demand.
🔸 Whale Selling Pressure: Large transfers to exchanges may trigger short-term declines.
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🎤 One-sentence Summary
"The current price of ETH at 4,448 is like walking a tightrope—4,700 is the breakthrough point, and 4,300 is the safety net! Short-term high sell and low buy, long-term accumulate at lower prices."
