#MarketTurbulence

✅ Positive outcome (USA–Russia news good) – ~35% probability

📈 Volume comeback: Big traders re-enter, futures OI rises fast.

🚀 BTC push-up: Quick rally possible, $2–5k upside in short term.

💹 Funding turns positive: More longs than shorts pile in.

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❌ Negative outcome (news worsens) – ~40% probability

📉 Volume drop-off: Remaining traders cut leverage, OI shrinks more.

🩸 BTC pressure: Possible $3–6k downside spike.

💀 Liquidations jump: Thin liquidity + fear = fast moves.

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😐 No clear outcome (stalemate) – ~25% probability

💤 Sideways chop: BTC stuck in tight range, fake breakouts common.

🪶 Low liquidity: Small trades still move price more than usual.

🌀 Market indecision: Mixed funding, whipsaw charts.