Tron (TRX) is showing bullish signals thanks to the health of the Futures market and strong Spot demand, forecasting a recovery towards the 0.4 USD level.
TRX trading activity within an upward channel combined with technical indicators and market behavior shows there is still significant growth potential, unless there is an impact causing weak Longs to retreat, leading to a price adjustment to 0.33 USD.
MAIN CONTENT
TRX's Futures market maintains a healthy state, not too hot, creating room for short-term price increases.
Strong Spot demand when the premium index and RSI are high, driving natural buying pressure from real investors.
Adjustment risks only appear if weak Longs are liquidated en masse, according to Open Interest and Funding Rate data.
What is the current price status of Tron (TRX)?
Tron has maintained a sustainable upward trend over the past two months, combined with small corrective moves positively contributing to market health.
TRX is currently trading around 0.357 USD, down 2.12% from the previous day, but still up 5.48% for the week and 19% for the month, indicating strong long-term upward momentum.
TRX price statistics based on market data until August 2025 (Source: AMBCrypto)
The maintenance of TRX's upward channel along with small adjustments indicates reasonable cash flow in and out, helping to absorb supply, reduce short-term profit-taking pressure, and reinforce genuine accumulation trends.
This strength is particularly evident when prices slightly adjust while short-term buying forces still maintain across time frames, demonstrating investors' confidence in TRX's medium/long-term outlook.
How is TRX's Futures market reflecting price increase prospects?
Data from CryptoQuant shows that Tron’s Futures Volume Bubble Map still has room for growth, with no signals of overbought or overheating in the short term.
The Futures Bubble Map shows a neutral zone, with room for continued upward movement, while new red signals appear in the overheated market phase, as seen in December 2024 when TRX rose from 0.26 USD to 0.45 USD and then peaked.
Expert opinion from Burak Kesmeci, CryptoQuant analyst, August 2025
When this indicator is in the neutral zone, Futures activity is considered 'healthy', investors are using leverage in a controlled manner, with not too many positions being affected by FOMO, reducing the risk of sudden sell-offs.
Compared to the strong increase period at the end of 2024: when the indicator turns red, the Long money flow rushed in, the market easily reversed. Currently, this has not happened, providing a good premise for the next price increase of TRX.
What are the signs of Longs (buying) in the Futures market?
Although the Futures market is not too hot, the Open Interest (OI) data recorded a slight decrease: from 340 million USD down to 313 million USD, losing 27 million USD in recent days.
Typically, decreasing OI indicates that investors are gradually closing their Futures positions, reducing profit-taking levels, taking profits early or avoiding market reversal risks.
Research on OI data from Santiment, August 2025
The advantage is that the Funding Rate has been continuously positive for 4 days (0.01%), meaning Long position holders are willing to pay fees to maintain their positions while waiting for price increases. Although a small number of weak Longs have exited the market, the majority of remaining investors are still confident in holding Longs with a positive Funding Rate fee.
The weak Long positions are retreating while the Short positions remain in the minority, proving that the market is not being manipulated by short-term FOMO, reducing the risk of a bull trap; however, if the strong Long positions continue to retreat en masse, the upward trend may weaken in the short term.
How is the demand for Spot and Futures on TRX conflicting?
Data from AMBCrypto and TradingView indicates: while Futures positions show signs of slight retreat, the demand to buy TRX in the Spot market remains positive.
The average premium between Spot and Perp has risen to 0.0014 USD and the RSI index reached 74, entering the overbought zone, indicating significant buying pressure and investors are accumulating long-term positions, not short-term trading.
TRX market analysis on TradingView, August 2025
When the Premium is positive, Spot investors buy TRX at higher prices than Perp, indicating a desire to hold long-term, limiting the situation of leveraged Futures trading which often causes unpredictable volatility.
History shows: strong price bursts often come after prolonged periods of positive Premium, as Spot investors are less likely to sell off in the short term, creating a solid foundation for price increases.
Current Status Indicator Meaning for Futures Trend Bubble Map Neutral There is still room for price increase, not too hot OI Decreased from 340 million to 313 million USD Some weak Longs have been eliminated, making the market healthier Continuous Positive Funding Rate for 4 days (~0.01%) Strong Longs continue to confidently hold positions Premium Spot vs Perp 0.0014 USD (positive) Real buying pressure from real investors RSI 74 Strong buying zone, nearing overbought
What will the next price trend for TRX look like?
If the Spot accumulation trend maintains its strength, Long positions will continue to hold, TRX could lead the recovery wave aiming for the target of 0.37 – 0.4 USD in the near future.
Conversely, if the Spot money flow reverses, Spot Holders sell early and OI continues to decrease significantly, TRX is likely to correct to the area of 0.33 USD as a supplementary accumulation break.
Market forecast based on actual support/resistance levels in August 2025, AMBCrypto
The flexibility in switching the mindset of the two investor groups (Spot and Futures) will determine the short–medium-term direction of TRX, especially during periods of significant macroeconomic volatility and liquidity that can easily change.
Investors need to closely monitor Premium, Funding Rate, and OI fluctuations to proactively manage risks, waiting for confirmation of sustainable upward signals before entering large orders.
Frequently Asked Questions
Does TRX still have room for price increase?
Technical indicators and the latest market data reflect that TRX still has short-term growth potential, as long as there are no signals of weak Longs being liquidated en masse.
How does Spot demand affect TRX's price trend?
Strong Spot demand plays a fundamental role, as Spot investors are less likely to sell off, creating more sustainable upward price momentum compared to high-leverage Futures trading trends.
What does a continuous positive Funding Rate mean?
Multiple days of positive Funding Rate indicate strong Longs are willing to pay fees to maintain their positions, reinforcing confidence in short-term upward trends.
Does decreasing OI warn of an adjustment risk?
A decrease in OI is a warning signal that weak Long investors are exiting their positions. If OI decreases too quickly, causing Spot to weaken, TRX's price may adjust.
What risks does a high RSI pose?
An RSI of 74 indicates TRX is at an overbought threshold, potentially indicating a slight adjustment or short-term accumulation before it can continue to rise.
How long does the dispute between Spot and Futures typically last?
Typically, when Spot purchases strongly while Futures gradually decrease, this trend will persist for several sessions or weeks until one side loses its advantage, determining the medium-term price direction.
What is TRX's price target in the near future?
According to current signals, if accumulation holds strong, TRX could conquer the range of 0.37 – 0.4 USD; conversely, the nearest support is 0.33 USD.
Source: https://tintucbitcoin.com/tron-tang-manh-trx-huong-04-usd/
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