#BTC走势分析

On August 15, Friday

1: Currently, BTC and ETH have both broken below their four-hour lifelines. The 4H cycle shows a short-term demand for a pullback; it remains uncertain whether this pullback will be a direct decline or a rebound followed by a decline. The target below is near the daily lifeline.

2: The daily structure is currently normal, still in a bullish direction, with a potential opportunity for a daily cycle (upward direction) during the pullback.

3: The mid to long-term (weekly and above) upward structure will not change for the time being.

Technical Sharing: The fluctuations in the numbers of rise and fall cannot be directly used as a standard for judging direction; the structural pattern is the gold standard for determining trends.

Common Mistakes in Trading

1: Do not open a position without a risk control plan before placing an order. Don't wait until you enter the market and realize something is wrong, trying to cover up a fatal error in risk control by analyzing short-term fluctuations during trading. Trading is a probabilistic event, and you must calculate your stop-loss plan before placing an order. If you're wrong, you must accept it.

2: Never take action without a good position; what is a good position? A position with reasonable cover (a reasonable stop-loss position), and a clear trend within your trading cycle, with a reasonable risk-reward ratio. It's absolutely not about mindlessly buying in after hearing a bullish call or mindlessly shorting after hearing a bearish call.

These two points are mistakes that the vast majority of traders make. Mistakes are not terrifying; what is terrifying is continuously making the same mistakes without being able to change. If you can’t improve, you won’t survive in this market, let alone make a profit.

Next, there will be new ambush opportunities;