Bitcoin – The Last Stop Before the Drop?
Market Overview
Price action on the daily chart has shown a decisive move into a key rejection block after taking out recent liquidity. This is a classic sign of exhaustion in the current move, suggesting that momentum may now begin to shift in the opposite direction. The daily close reinforced this idea, showing a clear respect for higher-timeframe resistance levels.
Rejection Block Context
The 4H and daily rejection blocks have aligned, creating a strong confluence zone where sellers have stepped in before. Price did not just test this area, it closed within it, which often indicates a high probability of reversal. This setup builds confidence that the market could be preparing for a retracement.
Liquidity Sweep Confirmation
Before the rejection occurred, price ran through a cluster of resting liquidity above recent highs. This liquidity grab often acts as the fuel for a reversal, as it traps late buyers and allows larger players to shift price in the opposite direction.
Fair Value Gap Target
Below current price, there remains an unfilled gap which is the final gap inside the current run. Historical price behavior shows that such gaps tend to get filled before a fresh move can develop. This unfilled zone provides a clear downside target.
Bearish Scenario
If the rejection holds, I expect price to work its way lower toward the 110k range, filling that remaining gap before any sustained bullish move can resume.
Conclusion
With liquidity taken, a clean rejection from higher-timeframe resistance, and an untouched gap below, the chart is aligning for a potential retracement. I am watching for continued weakness to confirm the move toward the 110k region.
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