Recently, Bitcoin and Ethereum have seen a waterfall-like crash, and many people who chased highs are now buried, feeling anxious with accounts in the red? Don't panic — hidden in the decline is the password for unwinding, the key is 'dividing positions and disarming + borrowing force to fight' to turn passive losses into active profits!
1. First judge the trend: the bears are not out of breath yet!
Don't be fooled by 'Oversold Rebound', the current situation is a continuation of the downtrend dominated by bears:
Technical Evidence:
BTC broke through the middle Bollinger Band at 124474, ETH plunged below the lower band at 4788; MACD death cross, KDJ oversold, but short selling volume has not decreased, and funds are still being dumped.
Market Psychology:
Rebound = trap for the greedy (those chasing long positions are just giving chips to the bears), don't fantasize about a 'V-shaped reversal', before the trend changes, the decline is the main rhythm.
2. Unwinding falls into 3 categories, precise disarmament!
🔹 Lightly Stuck (Position ≤ 30%): Cut half on rebound, go short.
Wait for rebound signals:
BTC stabilizes at 118500 (15-minute level stabilization), ETH stabilizes at 4580 (Bollinger Band lower support).
Rebound Target:
BTC → 119500 - 120000 (Bollinger Band middle track pressure), ETH → 4650 - 4700 (previous low pressure).
Operation:
Rebound to the target, first cut 50% of the position (reduce losses by half); set a stop loss for the remaining position (BTC 120500, ETH 4750), if the stop loss is breached, decisively liquidate + go short (borrow strength from the bearish trend to earn it back).
🔹 Heavily Stuck (Position 50%+): Cut loss to save, buy back at low.
Current Most Dangerous: Heavy Position Hard Resistance = Countdown to Liquidation, must reduce position first!
Execution:
Rebound to BTC 120000, ETH 4700, directly cut to within 30% (even if in loss, first protect the capital);
Wait for the next wave of decline: BTC breaks below 117000, ETH breaks below 4450, buy back in batches (e.g., 20% at 116000, 30% at 115000), to lower the average price.
🔹 Margin Call Edge (Margin ≤ 10%): Stop loss or add margin? Choose the former!
Breaking the Deadlock: Don't bet on a 'Miracle Rebound', set a forced stop loss (BTC 117000, ETH 4400), cut loss and exit → Preserve the last bullet, wait for the market to clarify before entering;
If you can't bear to cut loss, adding margin = handing your fate to the market, 90% will be forcibly liquidated (even worse).
3. After unwinding, how to 'borrow force to go short' to turn losses into profits?
In a downtrend, rebounds are opportunities to short for easy money:
Short Position Card Point:
BTC rebounds to 120000 - 120500 (Bollinger Band middle track pressure), ETH rebounds to 4700 - 4750 (previous low pressure), directly go short;
- Risk Control Setup:
Set stop loss at BTC 121000, ETH 4800, target BTC 116000, ETH 4300 (risk-reward ratio over 3:1);
Position Discipline: Short position ≤ 30%, leverage ≤ 10 times (safety is more important than high profit).
The current decline is not the end of the world, but a **'correction opportunity for the wrong position'**. Remember: the core of unwinding is 'cutting losses, borrowing strength from the trend' — turning passive deep losses into active shorting. Don't let emotions dictate your actions, disarm step by step, losses will eventually turn into stepping stones!
