The big coin plummeted from 124474 to 6200 points, the Bollinger Bands have been smashed and deformed! Tonight hides the dual script of 'rebound lure + second hunt'.
🔥 Current signal: oversold rebound 'the arrow is on the string'.
Technical anchor point: the lower track of the 1-hour Bollinger Bands at 118164 is precisely supported, KDJ golden cross turns, indicators oversold triggering rebound demand;
Volume anomaly: declining volume during drops, increasing volume during rebounds, capital is playing 'short-term long arbitrage' at low positions.
⚠️ Core logic: the bearish trend has not changed, the rebound is a 'lure trap'.
The 4-hour level is still stuck in the bear channel:
The middle track of the Bollinger Bands at 120500 is strong resistance (the life and death line of long and short positions), if broken, the rebound continues, otherwise the bears will return.
In the big trend, the fiercer the rebound, the harsher the subsequent crash—that's the classic rhythm of the bears 'nurturing the trap to kill'!
🎯 Tonight's operation strategy (dual harvesting):
① Short-term long to seize the rebound (quick entry and exit):
Entry: 118200-118500 light positions to go long (relying on the lower track support);
Target: 119500-120000 (take profit below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, take profit when good);
Stop loss: break 117632 (if the lower track is lost, the rebound will fail, decisively exit).
② Main dish of the bears (go short after the rebound lures):
Entry: rebound blocked at 120500-121000 (middle track of the Bollinger Bands + previous low resistance), directly go short;
Target: 117000-116500 (looking at the extension position of the lower track of the Bollinger Bands, profit-loss ratio 3:1 to establish a base);
Stop loss: breakthrough 121500 (if the middle track is broken, the trend reverses, accept losses and reverse).
Remember: rebounds in a bearish trend are opportunities to send bullets to the bears! Keep a close watch on the 120500 resistance level tonight; a rebound is the starting gun for 'second hunting'—turn the fluctuations of the big coin into the rhythm of withdrawals from your account!
$BTC #美国7月PPI年率高于预期