Current situation (as of today, August 14, 2025)$ETH :-
• Current price: around $4,631, a slight decrease (~1.4%) from the previous close, having fluctuated between $4,492 and $4,783 during the session.
• Platforms like CoinMarketCap and CoinGecko indicate a decline of 2% to 4% over 24 hours, alongside frequent fluctuations in trading volume.
• Partial market declines came despite earlier talk of the price nearing its all-time highs (ATH), due to wholesale inflation data that raised doubts about potential interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
Fundamental factors and potential catalysts$ETH :-
1. Declining inflation and raised expectations for interest rate cuts:
• Despite strong inflation data, market expectations for the Federal Reserve to take easing actions in September remain a fundamental support for risk assets like ETH.
2. Strong gains over the past weeks:
• Ethereum rose about 41% over the past month, 14% over the week.
• The price still stands close to ATH and receives support from massive flows into institutional ETF funds, and the effects of updates like Pectra and improvements in the regulatory environment like the Genius Act.
3. Positive future forecasts:
• Some analysts suggest that ETH could reach $10,000–$15,000 within a few weeks to months, supported by the adoption of artificial intelligence and the integration of blockchain technologies on Wall Street.
• Others see intermediate targets around $7,500 using Fibonacci models.
Technical analysis over the next 24 hours:-
• Tradzar position (accurate hourly technical analysis):
• Forming an ascending triangle with resistance around $4,735–$4,748 and ascending support.
• Base scenario (60% probability): Temporary rebound towards $4,700 then breakout through resistance towards $4,820–$4,870.
• Alternative scenario (25%): Range trading between $4,655 and $4,750 followed by a subsequent breakout.
• Bearish scenario (15%): Failure to maintain $4,700 leads to a decline towards $4,630–$4,640, but the overall trend remains bullish unless the support at $4,600 is broken.
• Other tools:
• The short-term RSI remains neutral or heading towards overbought, while the averages move below the price indicating overall bullish momentum.
• AI analyses or short-term forecasts (like PriceFore) indicate slight positive movements followed by a minor correction — but they are very accurate models for very short periods.
General summary: today and until tomorrow:-
1- Direct rise (higher probability), testing resistance at $4,735 → potential breakout towards $4,820–$4,870.
2- Consolidation before breakout, trading between $4,655–$4,750 before a more prominent move.
3- Slight correction, possibility of a decline towards $4,630–$4,640 if $4,700 is not maintained.
• Overall, the bullish trend is still in place, supported by technical aspects (such as the ascending triangle and RSI/MACD movements) and strong fundamental indicators (technological updates, regulatory legislation, and institutional flows).
• On the trading level, it is preferred to enter at a correction towards $4,700–$4,705 with a stop loss below $4,650, targeting first at $4,820 then $4,870.
Summary:-
• Over the next 24 hours, we are likely to witness continued bullish momentum, with the potential to test levels of $4,800+ if resistance is successfully broken.
• The overall trend remains positive, and the key support is strong.
• It is advisable to trade cautiously with clear stop levels and prepare strategies to enter at short corrections to maximize gains and reduce risks.
If you want me to analyze the market with you daily, support me with a like and subscribe so you receive all daily analyses, goodbye.
