Current Stage (Mid-Aug 2025)
• BTC: Already broke ATH → $124K. Confidence is restored.
• ETH: Explosive move from $1,385 → $4,800 in 4 months, driven by ETFs and institutions.
• Alts: Still mostly flat because capital is concentrated in majors.
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Next Steps in the Money Flow
1. August 2025 – ETH Pumps Hard
• Breaks new ATH ($5K+), liquidating shorts.
• High caps & some alts 2x–3x in quick bursts.
2. September 2025 – Final Shakeout
• ETH pulls back to ~$4,100.
• Market makers dump alts → alt/BTC and alt/ETH pairs bottom out.
3. October–December 2025 – BTC Leads to Cycle Peak
• Bitcoin pushes higher toward cycle top.
• ETH recovers and begins large leg up.
4. Jan–Mar 2026 – Real Altseason
• ETH targets $10K.
• Alts rally massively (10x–50x from September lows).