From the low in December 2018 until the high in November 2021 there is a period of 1064 days. That's how long the last bull market lasted from bottom to top.
The current cycle started November 2022 with the previous bear market bottom. If we project 1064 days into the future this would put us at the week of 20-October 2025.
Bitcoin rose 65% in 98 days. Between 7-April and 14-July.
Mid-August 2025 through 20-October 2025 gives a total of 70 days.
Do you think Bitcoin will stop rising and produce a long-term bear market after 70 days?
The rise between August 2024 and January 2025 lasted 168 days. 133 days with the December 2024 peak.
168 days starting 7-April 2025 would give us a date around 22-September 2025.
The main question is this: How strong is Bitcoin likely to drop after major growth?
The new all-time high and final peak for this cycle can be $180,000 to $200,000, but strong resistance will be faced around $155,000. Seeing for how long Bitcoin has been moving, do you think a strong correction can happen at 155k? Absolutely.
Think of August 2024. Something like this.
Bitcoin keeps on growing and once this level is reached a flash crash, 30% off or maybe even 35% in a flash. Then a long-term recovery and bullish resumption toward 200K and beyond. And it keeps on going, bear markets being nothing more than a correction. No more bear market but mild, strong or weak corrections.
The next target is $137,000 and this is an easy level. Watch out for $155,000. It is a mixed bag, the market will not behave in expected ways. It will be unpredictable on the short-term. You can predict the bigger picture though, it is going up. When in doubt, hold strong (and follow).
Namaste.
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