The market is like a battlefield; the struggle between bulls and bears relies not on brute force, but on understanding the 'heartbeat' of the market and the 'signals' of the data! Did SOL's rise and fall today indicate a 'halftime break' or a 'trend reversal'? How will tomorrow's U.S. unemployment data stir the winds? Let's dissect the market and logic in the most grounded way, allowing you to see through the key points at a glance!
Technical analysis:
Great pressure: $206 is a 'ceiling-level' resistance; it's normal for the first attempt to fail.
Overheating warning: RSI three lines are all overbought, like a car dashboard alarm going all red; the probability of a short-term pullback exceeds 70%.
Volume-price divergence: MACD red bars are shortening + DIF/DEA lines are merging, indicating weakening bullish momentum, but the 235k transaction volume remains at a healthy level, with no panic selling yet.
The critical line at 185: This is the dividing line between bulls and bears. If it holds, strong oscillation is maintained; if it breaks, it may test the strong support at 167.
Long's perspective:
SOL enters a "watching period" in the short term; $206 is not the endpoint but requires time to digest the float. The U.S. unemployment data tomorrow at 20:30 is a key variable.
If data exceeds expectations: A strong dollar will suppress risk assets, and SOL may take the opportunity to test the 185 support.
If data is weak: the market bets on the Federal Reserve slowing interest rate hikes, SOL may rebound to challenge the 206 resistance level.
Operational aspect:
Hawks: Place buy orders in the 185-187 range, aiming for 195-200.
Conservative approach: After the data is released, if it holds above 185, then lightly test long positions; if it breaks, wait to buy near 167.
Bears beware: Shorting requires waiting for a break below 185 + a retest confirmation, with a stop-loss set above 190.
Before tonight's data, the market may experience reduced volatility; don’t be tempted by small fluctuations! The real trading opportunity lies in the directional choice after the data is released; remember to set an alarm to monitor the market on time~#主流币轮动上涨
Bull markets are fleeting; what you lack is not opportunity, but the courage to pull the trigger! Follow Long, and let me assist you.
