ETH/USDT Technical Analysis,Price Prediction and Trade Plan -13 August 2025
📍 Key Indicators & Current Conditions
1. 💰 Price Action:
Current Price: $4,638.89 (+8.23% 🚀 strong bullish momentum)
24h Range: $4,256.92 → $4,656.24
Resistance: 🛑 $4,656.24 → $4,759.57 (next)
Support: 🛡 $4,296.53 (EMA7) → $4,256.92 (24h low) → $3,841.92 (EMA25)
2. 📈 Moving Averages (Strong Uptrend):
EMA(7): $4,296.53
EMA(25): $3,841.92
EMA(99): $3,082.67
✅ Price > EMA(7) > EMA(25) > EMA(99) → Powerful bullish trend intact.
3. 📊 Oscillators (Extreme Overbought):
RSI(6): 86.87 ⚠ Deep overbought (≥70 = overheated)
Stochastic RSI: 94.52 (MA: 89.23) 🚨 Severely overextended → Pullback risk high.
4. 📉 Volume & Divergence:
Current Volume: 115,056 ETH
MA(5): 581,956 | MA(10): 558,249
⚠ 80% below average volume → Rally lacks participation = bearish divergence.
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📈 Price Prediction
⏳ Short-Term (1–4 Hours):
Likely rejection at $4,656–$4,760 → pullback to $4,300–$4,400 (EMA7 zone).
🕛 Next 24 Hours:
Bullish: Close above $4,760 → Target $4,900–$5,000 (needs >500K ETH volume).
Bearish: Break below $4,256.92 → Drop toward $4,000–$3,842 (EMA25).
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🎯 Trade Plan
✅ Scenario 1: Buy the Dip (Primary)
Entry Zones:
$4,300–$4,350 (EMA7 + 24h low confluence)
$4,000–$4,100 (EMA25 + psych support)
Stop-Loss: ⛔ $4,250 (Zone 1) | $3,950 (Zone 2)
Take-Profit:
TP1: $4,500
TP2: $4,656
TP3: $4,900
Confirmation: RSI(6) cools to 50–60 + volume >300K ETH.
⚠ Scenario 2: Short at Resistance
Trigger: Rejection at $4,656–$4,760 + bearish candle (pinbar/doji)
Stop-Loss: $4,800
Take-Profit:
TP1: $4,400
TP2: $4,300
TP3: $4,100
Confirmation: Stoch RSI drops <90 + sell volume spike.
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📌 Risk Management
Max 2% capital per trade
Leverage ≤ 3x (high volatility)
Move SL to breakeven at +1.5% profit
Exit longs if EMA(7) < $4,250
Exit shorts if close > $4,760
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👀 Watchlist
1. Volume > 500K ETH needed for breakout confirmation.
2. RSI(6) > 80 = 🚨 extreme caution.
3. ETH news: ETF updates 📢, network activity 📊, BTC dominance shifts 📉.
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📌 Conclusion:
🔵 Bias: Bullish but extremely overheated. Best play is buying dips near $4,300–$4,350 with tight stops.
⚠ Avoid chasing highs without volume confirmation. Shorts only if reversal signal forms at $4,656–$4,760.
💡 Overbought + low volume = correction risk. Trade defensively & let price come to you!
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