1. The Fatal Temptation of 100x Coins
Brutal Reality: Over 300 new tokens are added daily, with a 3-year survival rate of less than 1%.
Blood and Tears Case: In 2021, 93% of the TOP 100 altcoins have dropped more than 90%.
Survival Rule: Treat every altcoin investment as 'buying a lottery ticket'; position ≤ 1%.
2. The Killing Pigs Behind the Pump and Dump Frenzy
Whale Tricks: Pump 30% → Attract buyers → Standard process of crashing 80%.
Identification Features: A sudden influx of 'sure-win' signals in the community.
Cracking Method: Check on-chain data; if large wallets sell >50%, escape immediately.
3. Market Sentiment Contrarian Indicator
Data speaks: When Google searches for 'cryptocurrency death' peak, it is often a bottom area.
Operational Guide: Build a Fear and Greed Index, accumulate positions in batches during extreme fear.
Classic Case: After the LUNA crash in 2022, Bitcoin rebounded 280% in 6 months.
4. The Fatal Trap of Certainty
Behavioral Finance: When retail consensus >70%, the win rate of contrarian trading is 83%.
Pitfall Prevention Tips: Stay alert to any analysis claiming '100% increase'.
Practical Verification: In 2023, NFT concept coins collectively halved, with buyers losing 92%.
5. Survivor Bias Illusion
Real Data: From 2020 to 2023, the average survival period of contract traders is 47 days.
Cognitive Upgrade: Look at the candlestick chart upside down; 80% of 'opportunities' are actually traps.
Capital Management: Stop trading for a week if daily losses exceed 5%.
6. KOL Wealth Code Revealed
Industry Secrets: 90% of 'trading masters' primarily earn from:
Exchange rebates
Project promotion fees
Paid community harvesting
Identification Method: Check on-chain public holdings, real big player addresses with assets >100BTC
7. The Mathematical Truth of Contract Trading
Probability Calculation: With a 50% win rate, the probability of making a profit after 100 trades is only 3.7%.
Blood and Tears Lesson: 10x leverage with a 10% fluctuation = principal goes to zero.
Alternative Solutions: Switch to spot grid trading, with an annualized return stabilizing at 15-30%.
8. The Art of Dancing with the Whales
Secrets to Following the Whales: Observe weekly accumulation traces (continuous small green candles + moderate volume).
Classic Pattern: "
Golden Pit" pattern (sharp drop of 30% + slow recovery breaking previous high).Take Profit Strategy: Sell in batches at 3x the cost price of the whale.
9. Rules for Surviving Shitcoins
Value Judgment Criteria:
√ Does it solve a real demand?
√ Is the development team continuously delivering?
√ On-chain active addresses >10,000Speculation Principle: Heat cycle ≤ 3 months, withdraw immediately if TVL drops by 30%.
10. The Law of Conservation of Wealth
Data Tracking: Among the winners in the 2021 bull market, 85% lost everything in 2022.
Cognitive Upgrade Path:
Learn On-Chain Analysis
Master Economic Cycles
Build a Trading System
Ultimate Advice: Invest profits in hardware wallets and cold storage solutions.
Survival Guide: Triple protection to navigate bull and bear markets.
Capital Firewall
Main Capital: 50% in BTC/ETH
Satellite Capital: 30% in mainstream coins
Risk Capital: 20% can participate in hotspots
Emotion Management Table
Market Signals Operational Guide Position Control
Extreme Greed Take Profit in Batches ≤30%
Extreme Fear Dollar-Cost Average ≥50%
Annual Checklist
Have you participated in more than 3 hotspots?
Have you used more than 5x leverage?
Do you hold more than 5 altcoins?
(If any answer is 'yes', adjust immediately)
The crypto world is here to challenge you; what you think is 'different this time' will be a harsh lesson from the market.
Patience + Discipline + Execution are the keys to long-term survival.
People are more important than anything! If you are still confused, take a look at how Yu Ge helps you seize every wave of the bull market!
Daily Attention: MLN RAY SOL
