NOT is stuck between the 2-week value center 0.00208 and the middle Bollinger band, the shrinking horizontal consolidation behind is the contract bulls quietly reducing their positions. Once it breaks LVN 0.00189, it will accelerate downward, while a volume recovery above POC is expected to rebound to 0.00219, with short-term bidirectional breakout only 10% apart.

[Key Interval Structure]
1. Value Anchoring Zone: POC=0.00208 (8884M trading), long and short are balanced, price oscillates around this point for 5 days.
2. High Trading Volume Area:
• HVN1=0.00199 (8145M, sell orders dominant 55%), first buffer above;
• HVN2=0.00212 (7941M, buy orders dominant 55%), first buffer below.
3. Low Trading Volume Gap:
• LVN1=0.00189 (only 1085M trading), breaking below has no support, quickly sliding to 0.00175;
• LVN2=0.00233 (trading 1225M), breaking through directly reaches 0.00248.
4. 70% Trading Volume Coverage Area: 0.00198～0.00219, current price is in the middle zone, neither overbought nor oversold, but close to the lower edge, with greater bullish elasticity.

[Momentum Verification]
• Near POC Up/Down Volume 50.5/49.5, nearly balanced;
• HVN1 Area Down Volume 55%, short-term pressure;
• Recent 4h contract positions increased by 1.3%, but long/short decreased by 10%, shorts are more active → downward momentum is dominant.

[Cycle Judgment]
Medium-term still in a bear market consolidation phase after a rebound, short-term belongs to 'shrinking triangle tail', waiting for direction choice.

[Trading Strategy]
1. Aggressive Short: Place a short at rebound 0.00212 (HVN2 lower edge), stop loss at 0.002135 (HVN2 upper band +0.5ATR≈0.000015), target LVN1=0.00189, risk-reward ratio 15.3.
2. Conservative Long: Enter when a pullback to LVN1=0.00189 shows a shrinking long lower shadow or Up Volume > 60%, stop loss at 0.001875 (below HVN outer side), target POC=0.00208, risk-reward ratio 12.7.
3. Cautious Wait: Wait for a 1h close to break 0.00219 (70% area upper edge) with volume, then chase long to 0.00233, stop loss at 0.00217.

[Risk Warning]
• If the 1h candle falls below 0.00189 and Down Volume > 60%, strategy 2 fails, reverse to short.
• Major macro negative news or project party unlocking may cause LVN to fail directly.

[LP Market Making Advice]
It is recommended to place bilateral orders in the range of 0.00198～0.00212, capturing a price difference of 0.00007, reason:
• The range is located in the 70% trading volume dense area, trading is active;
• Volatility compression, funding rate close to 0, low risk to earn transaction fees;
• If the price breaks out of the range, adjust the boundary flexibly with HVN and withdraw orders.

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