$DOGE

Here's a concise analysis of **Dogecoin (DOGE)** for today (August 12, 2025):

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⚡ **Current Status**

- **Price**: **$0.22–$0.226** (down **~7%** in 24h after rejection at $0.238) .

- **Volume**: High sell-off volume (**485M DOGE** at peak), but buy support at **$0.226** (793M volume spike) .

- **Sentiment**: **Neutral-bearish** short-term; long-term bullish structure intact .

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📉 **Technical Outlook**

- **Critical Levels**:

- **Support**: **$0.226** (held today), **$0.22** (next major test) .

- **Resistance**: **$0.231** (local cap), **$0.238** (yesterday's high-volume rejection) .

- **Patterns**:

- Falling wedge forming on hourly chart – breakout could trigger **12%+ bounce** (similar to late July) .

- Daily triangle consolidation; sustained hold above **$0.2210** keeps bullish structure valid .

- **Indicators**:

- RSI neutral (no overbought signal); 200 EMA acting as support .

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🐋 **Catalysts & Sentiment**

- **Whale Activity**: Accumulation of **1B+ DOGE** during dips; whales control ~50% of supply .

- **Macro Risks**: U.S. CPI data today may amplify volatility; broader crypto market down **2.5%** .

- **Long-Term Targets**:

- Break above **$0.36** could fuel rally to **$0.70–$1.00** (no major resistance until then) .

- Analysts cite 4-year cycles pointing to **$1–$2** by late 2025 .

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⚠️ **Risks**

- Failure to hold **$0.22** may trigger drop to **$0.198** .

- Unlimited DOGE supply and whale dominance could cap upside .

- High correlation with Bitcoin (testing $118K support) .

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💎 **Summary**

DOGE faces **short-term pressure** but retains bullish potential:

- **Bullish Case**: Hold **$0.22**, break wedge resistance → rally to **$0.25–$0.30** .

- **Bearish Case**: CPI shock or BTC drop → retest **$0.198** .

🔑 **Watch today**: CPI data (12:30 GMT) and BTC's trend for directional cues. Long-term $0.70+ targets require clearing **$0.36** resistance .