💥 Core conclusions to look at first
> ✅ CPI≤2.7% → Surge mode: BTC rush to 130,000｜ETH leads Altcoins
> ⚠️ CPI=2.8% → Sideways fluctuations: Monitor $118K BTC support level
> ❌ CPI≥2.9% → Flash crash warning: Quickly check if positions are in risk zone!
📉 How CPI manipulates the crypto market?
Transmission chain:
`Inflation data → Federal Reserve rate cut probability → Dollar liquidity → Currency price fluctuations`
- ▶️ Key threshold tonight
`2.7%` = Rate cut expectation🔥 → Crypto frenzy button
`2.9%` = Rate hike ghost👻 → Beware of a 10% crash within half an hour
---
🚨 Critical prices for various currencies (must be stored before the data!)
| Currency | Surge trigger price | Breakout defense price |
$BTC | >$123,153 | <$115,000
$ETH | >$4,500 | <$4,000
$SOL | >$208 | <$180
⚡ Three plans: Lay back and earn or flee?
1️⃣ CPI lower than expected (≤2.7%):
- Immediately increase position: BTC/ETH spot + SOL call options
- Ambush targets: RWA sector (Ondo, MKR)
- ✳️ Leverage no-go zone: Volatility over 200% in the 30 minutes after data release!
2️⃣ CPI meets expectations (2.8%):
- Move to stablecoins for interest earnings
- Limit order BTC $118,000/ETH $4,200 for price spikes
3️⃣ CPI higher than expected (≥2.9%):
- Clearance of small and medium-cap Altcoins (APT/AVAX selling pressure++)
- Counter open position: Gold ETF (GLD) hedge
---
🌐 Hidden plot: Not just watching CPI!
- 👁️ Energy sector: If oil prices soar causing CPI distortion, ignore short-term fluctuations
- ⚖️ 20:35 Federal Reserve announcement: An official saying 'data does not influence decisions' can reverse the market!
- 💼 Corporate whale movements: SharpLink holds 520,000 ETH, a crash is a buying signal
📌 Operation memo
> ✖️ 20:30-21:00 New positions prohibited (volatility slaughters leverage)
> ✔️ Monitor BTC perpetual funding rate after 21:30: Negative value = bottom fishing opportunity
> 💎 Ultimate Defense: 25% position converted to USDC for interest earnings
The above content is personal advice for reference only
