Independent Momentum Builds in 2025
In 2025, $XRP is displaying a notable shift in market behavior, increasingly charting its own path away from the influence of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). Technical data and recent structural developments suggest that XRP is forming an independent uptrend, with its market dominance rising steadily over recent months.
XRP/BTC Pair Breaks Long-Term Resistance
According to analysis by Dark Defender on the X platform, the XRP/BTC exchange rate began outperforming Bitcoin in late 2024, continuing into early 2025. On the three-month candlestick chart, XRP/BTC has broken above a long-standing downtrend resistance line that had been in place since December 2024.
While Bitcoin has continued setting record highs this year, XRP has held its ground above the breakout zone, reinforcing the view that the asset is entering a new phase of growth that is less correlated with BTC’s price swings. Currently, the pair trades at 0.00002696, and sustained momentum could push XRP further ahead, potentially fueling an altcoin season.
Rising Market Dominance Signals Strength
Market analyst EGRAG CRYPTO highlights the XRP dominance chart as a critical indicator of the token’s trajectory. Using Fibonacci-based analysis, he identifies key dominance thresholds:
5.92% – First barrier to confirm stronger bullish momentum.
8.87% – Next resistance level if upward momentum continues.
11.61% – Optimal target for this cycle, signaling clear market outperformance.
21.5% – Level that could set XRP on a path toward its all-time high.
A steady rise in dominance means XRP is not just appreciating in price but also expanding its market share within the broader cryptocurrency sector.
Short-Term Pullback Tests Key Support
After reaching $3.38 on August 8, XRP entered a short-term correction. CasiTrades notes that the price is now retesting the $3.21–$3.22 zone, aligning with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. This level serves as both critical support and a structural backtest for the bullish trend.
CasiTrades suggests this move may be a liquidity grab aimed at shaking out weaker hands before the next rally. If the $3.22 level holds, the bullish structure remains intact; a breakdown would shift attention to the next support at $3.17.
Outlook: Decoupling and Altseason Potential
With growing signs of decoupling from BTC and ETH, and a consistent rise in dominance, XRP appears well-positioned for a strong bullish cycle. Key points for traders and investors in the coming weeks include:
Holding $3.22 as short-term support.
Breaking through 5.92% dominance to confirm trend acceleration.
Monitoring broader altcoin market dynamics — if altseason emerges, XRP could be one of its primary beneficiaries.
