🏦 $13T Opportunity: Why Bitcoin in 401(k)s Could Redefine Retirement Investing
Bitcoin (BTC) incorporation into US 401(k) retirement plans might create a $13 trillion investment pool, a major change in popular usage. Even a tiny Bitcoin investment may provide a consistent, long-term capital inflow significantly greater than spot ETFs since millions of Americans contribute to this plan every two weeks.
Bitcoin may enter the $12 trillion US401(k) investment alternatives, which might be its greatest structural influx. On August 7 Varys Capital Head of Venture and former Messari senior analyst Tom Dunleavy wrote on X that cryptocurrencies in the 401(k) retirement plan are larger and more bullish than ETFs.
Dunleavy estimated that 100 million Americans participate in the 401(k) plan, which automatically invests a portion of each paycheck in preselected stock and bond portfolios. These allocations are revised yearly at most, ensuring a consistent cash flow into financial markets. This 401(k) plan has also helped US stocks survive and rise over the previous two decades.
Dunleavy estimates that 401(k) assets are at $12 trillion, with $50 billion in new contributions every two weeks. The expert said even a tiny Bitcoin portfolio will generate considerable and recurrent inflows. He predicted that 1% allocation would purchase $120 billion, 3% $360 billion, and 5% $600 billion.
The debut of Spot Bitcoin ETFs may not have the same long-term effect as cryptocurrencies in the 401(k) plan
Regulatory Background BTC's Adoption Path
Dunleavy said the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 is strongly related to Bitcoin's probable inclusion in 401(k) investment choices. He stated that ERISA sets fiduciary requirements to safeguard participants and guarantee promised benefits.
These experts have been investigating the cryptocurrency sector for over a decade, creating the knowledge foundation and compliance mechanisms needed to support a small crypto allocation—typically 1%–5% for pensions and perhaps 401(k) members.