$XLM near $0.438 – Will bulls reclaim key Fibonacci levels or lose momentum?
1) Yesterday’s Recap – August 9, 2025
On the 1H chart, $XLM oscillated between $0.44 and $0.455, with RSI fluctuating around 50–55 and MACD maintaining a neutral-to-bullish bias. Volume was moderate — neither buyers nor sellers dominated, suggesting market indecision.
On the 4H chart, the pair respected support at $0.44, which had acted as a consolidation base in recent days. RSI held around 56, while MACD histogram remained slightly positive. Volume picked up slightly during upward pushes, hinting at underlying bullish interest.
Key Fibonacci levels for the swing low-to-high:
38.2%: $0.4475
50.0%: $0.4449
61.8%: $0.4423
1.618 extension: ~$0.4918
2) Current Market Situation – August 10, 2025
As of now, $XLM is trading around $0.4383, below the 61.8% retracement level — a sign that buyers have lost some short-term momentum.
1H chart:
RSI ~49 (neutral)
MACD flat, slightly negative
Volume low, indicating caution
4H chart:
Price still above the daily low $0.4338 — holding this level is critical for bulls
RSI at 50 — balanced market pressure
MACD close to the zero line
Volume lower than in recent break attempts, suggesting hesitation
3) Outlook
Bullish scenario: Bulls must push price back above $0.4449 (Fib 50%) to retest $0.4559 (recent high). A breakout with strong volume could lead to $0.462 → $0.470 → $0.491–0.492 (1.618 extension).
Bearish scenario: Losing $0.4338 daily low with volume could trigger a move towards $0.430 → $0.425 → $0.420.
4) LONG Setup
Entry: ≥ $0.456 (confirmed breakout)
Stop Loss: $0.4475 (Fib 38.2%)
TP1: $0.462
TP2: $0.470
TP3: $0.491–0.492 (1.618 extension)
5) SHORT Setup
Entry: < $0.4338 (daily low break)
Stop Loss: $0.439
TP1: $0.430
TP2: $0.425
TP3: $0.420
