Quick summary
XRP benefits from legal clarity and technical optimism, but there are ongoing questions about the sustainability of this performance. Here are the latest updates:
End of the SEC lawsuit (August 7, 2025) – a $125 million settlement ends a years-long legal battle, strengthening XRP's regulatory standing.
The appearance of the MVRV Golden Cross signal (August 10, 2025) – a rare technical signal indicating upward momentum despite the recent price decline.
Escalating debate over supply shock (August 10, 2025) – experts believe that legal victories alone will not lead to sustainable increases.
Detailed Analysis
1. End of the SEC lawsuit (August 7, 2025)
Overview:
Ripple and the SEC reached a $125 million settlement on August 7, rejecting all appeals and affirming that XRP is not a security in secondary trading. This decision led to a 5-10% increase in the price of XRP during the day, reaching $3.84, with trading volume increasing by 11% as institutional interest renewed.
What this means:
This is positive news for XRP as it removes a regulatory burden that has lasted for years, potentially easing ETF applications and the currency's listing on exchanges. However, the $125 million fine that Ripple paid (down from initial claims of up to $2 billion) indicates ongoing compliance costs. Market reactions may depend on how regulators apply this behavior to other cryptocurrencies. (CoinMarketCap)
2. The appearance of the MVRV Golden Cross signal (August 10, 2025)
Overview:
The market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio for XRP surpassed its 200-day moving average in July, a rare event historically linked to increases ranging from 54% to 630%. Despite a 36% decline in daily trading volume, the currency remains stable above $3.30, with a weekly increase of 12.7%.
What this means:
This is a cautiously optimistic signal for XRP, as the golden MVRV cross indicates that the currency may be undervalued and presents an opportunity for accumulation. However, declining trading volume and the failure of the price to surpass $3.65 (the peak on July 24) indicate resistance. Traders are watching to see if the ratio remains above the long-term trend line. (CryptoNewsLand)
3. Escalating debate over supply shock (August 10, 2025)
Overview:
Jake Claver, CEO of Digital Ascension Group, says that the price of XRP will not rise significantly without a supply shock caused by token scarcity. Despite the legal clarity, the currency is still 13% below its peak in July, and analysts indicate that large investors (whales) have not significantly reduced their holdings on exchanges.
What this means:
This is a neutral stance towards XRP as it limits excessive optimism about legal victories. Claver's view suggests that ETF inflows or widespread token locking (through staking or collateralization) are necessary to stimulate a sustainable rise. Until then, prices may remain within a range of $3.00 to $3.65. (CoinMarketCap)
Conclusion
Despite the legal clarity and positive technical indicators for XRP, the reality suggests that without structural demand factors like ETFs or supply constraints, gains may stall. Will institutional adoption post-settlement outweigh profit-taking by long-term holders?
