XRP formed a rare MVRV golden cross in July, historically linked to major price rallies of 630% and 54%.
Current price stands at $3.31, up 12.69% in a week, despite a 36.62% drop in daily trading volume.
The MVRV ratio remains above its 200-day average, sustaining elevated price levels after the latest crossover.
XRP’s market structure has recorded a repeat of a rare MVRV ratio golden cross, a signal last observed in July. Market data from the past months shows substantial upward price movements following previous occurrences of this crossover. In the latest instance, the move came after an extended consolidation phase earlier this year.
Historic Patterns and Price Reaction
An analysis by Ali Charts reveals that the first golden cross within the displayed period occurred in late November. The MVRV ratio moved above its 200-day moving average after a steady build-up. In the weeks following, XRP’s price recorded a steep climb, reaching higher levels through December. Historical records on the chart indicate that similar patterns in the past coincided with price rallies of approximately 630% and 54%.
Source: X
From December to late January, the MVRV ratio remained volatile, moving in wide swings. During this same period, XRP’s price recorded sharp peaks and pullbacks before settling into a prolonged downward trend. From February through June, the MVRV ratio stayed mostly below the 200-day average, reflecting a slower market phase with limited directional movement.
XRP Price Trajectory Revealed
Tracking the current market action, CoinMarketCap data reveals that XRP is trading at $3.31, marking a 12.69 percent gain over the past week. The price began the period near $2.95 and experienced a brief decline before reversing into an upward trend. A strong rally started on August 7, driving XRP above $3.20.
Source: CoinMarketCap
The price maintained strength, reaching intraday highs above $3.40 before a minor pullback. Trading volume over the last 24 hours stands at $7.32 billion, down 36.62 percent from the previous day. Despite the lower volume, market capitalization remains at $196.31 billion, with the price holding above the $3.30 level at the latest reading.
July Signal and Market Impact
A second golden cross emerged in mid-July. The MVRV ratio again crossed above the 200-day average, breaking the extended consolidation pattern. This movement was followed by a notable price increase, pushing XRP above the $3.30 level. Following this crossover, the MVRV ratio recorded a sharp upward spike.
The price action matched this movement, reinforcing the connection between the two metrics. However, early August brought a mild retracement in both measures, though levels remained above those seen in prior months. This captures three golden cross events in total, two being historical references and one recent.
In previous cases, each occurrence preceded an upward movement in XRP’s price. The July 2025 signal mirrors the earlier patterns in both timing and price reaction. The appearance of this formation in the current market context adds to the dataset of prior occurrences. Price levels remain elevated, with the MVRV ratio holding above its long-term trend line. The persistence of this position will determine whether the pattern continues to align with the historical prints.
