XRP is sending optimistic technical and on-chain signals, with the emergence of the MVRV golden cross, improved NVT ratio, and short squeeze pressure, reinforcing the bullish argument in the short term.
XRP has just re-established a golden cross on the MVRV ratio, a factor that previously led to two strong historical rallies. If it surpasses the threshold of $3.46, XRP could repeat a remarkable bullish pattern, but strong buying pressure needs to be maintained to confirm this trend.
MAIN CONTENT
XRP's MVRV golden cross has re-emerged, which previously signaled impressive price rallies.
The improved NVT ratio and short squeeze data indicate that strong bullish momentum is being reinforced.
The resistance zone at $3.46 is crucial; if surpassed, it could open up a new bullish cycle for XRP.
What is XRP's golden cross MVRV and what does it signify?
The MVRV golden cross is a rare technical signal that appears when the market value exceeds the actual value and has previously led to strong price rallies of XRP.
When the MVRV ratio shows a golden cross, it is a sign of a shift in market sentiment, often accompanied by expectations for a new bullish trend based on historical cycles.
Ali Martinez, Cryptocurrency market analyst, 2025, source: X
The MVRV ratio measures the relationship between market value and actual value of XRP. According to past data, each time a golden cross appears, XRP has recorded price increases of 630% and 54% respectively. Currently, this signal reappears as XRP maintains trading around $3.32, further reinforcing the bullish argument.
The reappearance of the golden cross amidst sustained demand and improving on-chain data is creating strong bullish sentiment among the investor community. However, to validate a new bullish wave, sustained buying pressure is needed to surpass the next strong resistance levels.
Where is the Fibonacci retracement and what is the current price resistance level of XRP?
XRP is currently trading around the important Fibonacci retracement area of 0.618 at $3.30, with short-term resistances at $3.46 and $3.66.
XRP's continuous testing of key resistance zones on the Fibonacci chart indicates a strong tug-of-war between the two sides. If it clearly breaks through $3.46, the market may witness the next bullish wave with overwhelming buying volume.
Technical analysis report, TradingView, 2025
On the daily chart, the MACD indicator continues to maintain an optimistic signal as the MACD line is above the signal line, confirming that bullish momentum remains strong. However, the continuous rejection at the 0.786 region around $3.46 reflects the ongoing high selling pressure.
To re-establish the uptrend, investors need to pay attention to whether the buying volume can consistently surpass the resistance zone. When volume remains stable or increases, the probability of breaking through resistance price zones will be reinforced, thus opening new targets at the $4.23 price range according to Fibonacci model forecasts.
What does a deep drop in the NVT ratio signify about XRP's network activity?
The NVT ratio of XRP has dropped by as much as 46.1% in the past 24 hours to 95.88, indicating that the market value of XRP is being adjusted closer to the actual trading value on the network.
When the NVT ratio drops sharply, it is a sign that the network is operating efficiently, and real circulating capital is increasing. Assets with low NVT often accumulate bullish energy thanks to a strong operational foundation.
On-chain data report, CryptoQuant, 2025
History shows that each significant drop in the NVT ratio coincides with a period of increased network operational efficiency, thereby reinforcing investor confidence in the short-term price increase potential. This is even more valuable if accompanied by other positive technical indicators like MACD, MVRV golden cross.
Nevertheless, investors should wait for valid signals from the consistent increase in actual trading volume over several consecutive sessions before making a definitive assessment of a sustainable bullish trend.
Does the short squeeze reverse the price trend towards XRP's bullish side?
Data from the exchange shows that short orders have been liquidated for a total of $3.03 million, overwhelmingly compared to long orders that were liquidated for only $290K, creating the need to buy back the short sellers' positions (short squeeze).
Short squeezes when the liquidation ratio of long/short positions is significantly different often amplify volatility levels and can trigger sudden price rallies if the market is leaning towards the buying side.
CoinGlass, XRP futures liquidation data, 9/8/2025
Strong short squeezes often occur during periods of optimistic sentiment, when sellers are forced to close positions by buying back, rapidly pushing prices higher. However, the continuous appearance of short squeezes also warns of the risk of strong two-way volatility, requiring investors to monitor volume and cash flow direction for risk management.
This highlights the importance of balancing bullish momentum and short-term volatility, especially when the market may continue to experience subsequent squeeze events.
What price range is the 'breakout threshold' for XRP's next bullish wave?
Data from the Binance Liquidation Heatmap identifies a dense liquidity zone from $3.40 to $3.48, marking it as a potential 'activation zone' with the ability to cause strong fluctuations if a breakout occurs.
Large liquidity clusters horizontal at short-term resistance zones will be the battleground for fierce contention between buyers and sellers. If surpassed with strong buying momentum, prices could surge due to significantly depleted selling pressure above.
Binance liquidation data report, CoinGlass, 2025
When buying pressure continuously floods through the $3.48 zone, the probability of strong bullish waves similar to breakouts increases significantly, especially when there is little remaining selling pressure above this zone. Conversely, if rejected at this zone, the price is likely to undergo short-term correction, reinforcing buying pressure before attempting to break through again.
Can XRP replicate impressive price rallies based on these technical signals?
Combining positive technical signals (MVRV golden cross, rising MACD) and on-chain factors (low NVT, strong short squeeze), XRP is gathering favorable conditions for continued growth in the near future.
History shows that MVRV golden crosses always open up large bullish cycles if confirmed by strong buying flows. The key is to successfully break through key resistance zones to attract new capital into the market.
Market analysis report, TradingView, 2025
If XRP breaks above $3.46 with strong buying momentum, it is entirely possible to replicate strong historical price rallies. However, this scenario will only be confirmed when the price breaks through resistance zones and maintains overwhelming buying pressure in subsequent trading sessions.
Investors should closely monitor fluctuations, paying attention to technical factors, trading data, and market sentiment to adjust strategies according to new opportunities or potential fluctuations.
Comparison table of key indicators of XRP during bullish cycles
Indicator/Trend 2021 Bull Phase* Current (2025) Golden cross MVRV 630% (after golden cross) Re-establishing, expecting to repeat growth Trading volume Continually increasing over 4 sessions Testing new demand NVT ratio Dropped to 92.45 Strongly decreased to 95.88 (decrease of 46.1% in 24h) Short squeeze Liquidation of $2.8 million on the short side $3.03 million in shorts liquidated Key resistance $2.85 $3.46, $3.66 Next breakout target $3.50 $4.23 (according to Fibonacci 1.618)
* Data from previous cycles based on analyses from TradingView, CryptoQuant, CoinGlass.
Frequently asked questions about the current XRP trading signal.
What is XRP's MVRV golden cross?
The MVRV golden cross is a signal when the market value line surpasses the actual value, often forecasting a significant price rally if accompanied by strong buying momentum. This signal has previously appeared during bull markets.
Does a low NVT ratio truly reinforce the price increase for XRP?
A low NVT ratio reflects strong real transactions on the network, signaling operational efficiency and often reinforcing XRP's price increase.
What does short squeeze data mean for XRP investors?
When a short squeeze occurs, short sellers are forced to buy back, creating very strong short-term momentum for the price while also posing volatility risks.
Why is the $3.46 zone a key resistance level for XRP?
$3.46 is Fibonacci resistance, where significant liquidity accumulates, many sell orders exist, and fierce contention occurs, thus it must be surpassed to confirm a new bullish wave.
How high could XRP go if it successfully breaks out?
If the price surpasses $3.46 and establishes a new price range, the Fibonacci model indicates the next target around $4.23, depending on actual buying pressure and market sentiment.
Should one chase XRP when the golden cross appears?
Investors should be cautious; they should wait for confirmation of buying momentum and the maintenance of resistance breakouts, combined with risk management before volatility trends.
What are the main data sources used to analyze the price dynamics of XRP?
Using data from TradingView, CoinGlass, CryptoQuant along with technical chart analysis and liquidation contract data.
Source: https://tintucbitcoin.com/xrp-tin-hieu-breakout-vuot-4-usd/
Thank you for reading this article!
Please Like, Comment, and Follow TinTucBitcoin to always stay updated with the latest cryptocurrency market news and not miss any important information!
