I. Core Logic
Market Phase: Bitcoin enters acceleration phase after breaking $118,000, Ethereum triggers altcoin season after breaking $4,200, funds migrate to undervalued projects.
Core Strategy: Focus on 'Technical Breakthrough + Event Catalysis' for rebound targets, strictly adhere to discipline to avoid emotional trading.
II. Target Selection (Three Types of Opportunities)
1. Technical Breakthrough Type
- Layer2: zkSync Era (elastic proof network), Hyper (staking annualized 1000%)
- AI Integration: ALCH (gaming protocol), TICS (cross-border payment pre-sale) Indicator: Weekly on-chain transfers increase over 150%, developer activity increases by over 30% monthly
2. Event-Driven
- Mainnet Launch: Injective (DeFi derivatives), 0g (modular blockchain)
- Unlock Rebound: Optimism (testing $1 after $25.6 million token release) Indicator: On-chain selling pressure <5% in the 72 hours before unlocking, stabilizing key resistance levels
3. Sentiment Resonance
- Meme Newcomer: WIF (Solana ecosystem, looking at $1.45 after breaking $1.18)
- Meme Protocol: T6900 (FOMO mechanism + 427% annualized staking) Indicator: Twitter topic volume increases 500% in 24 hours, whales make small purchases (single transaction <0.1ETH)
III. Operational Iron Rules
1. Position Allocation
- Core assets (XRP/SOL) account for 50%, meme coins single project ≤ 5%
- Pre-sale projects ≤ total position 10%, reserve 20% cash for additional purchases
2. Stop Loss and Take Profit
- Dynamic Stop Loss: After profits exceed 20%, move stop loss line up to cost price
- Gradual Profit Taking: Reduce 50% at previous high resistance, remaining to play the main upward wave
- Circuit Breaker Mechanism: Suspend trading after a single-day loss of 3%, review strategy
3. Entry Signal
- 4-hour chart MA50 crosses MA200, RSI rebounds from oversold zone (<30)
- 24-hour trading volume surges over 200%, price breaks above Bollinger Band upper limit
IV. Risk Warning
Characteristics of Speculative Areas:
- Project TVL weekly increase >200% but no actual use cases
- Social media daily active users increase 10 times but code updates stagnate
- Large transfers over 10% of circulation 72 hours before exchange listing
Response Strategy:
- Trigger condition to immediately reduce position by 70%, retain 30% liquid capital
- Use TradingView to set 'Price Retracement 15% + Volume Shrinkage' for automatic profit-taking
Key Tools:
- On-chain Monitoring: Arkham (whale address tracking), Nansen (label analysis)
- Trading Execution: WEEX WeiKe (conditional orders + trailing stop loss), Binance API automation