Ethereum is pressing against a key resistance zone near $4,100, a level that has topped advances multiple times in the past two years. According to analyst Ash Crypto, a decisive break above this price could lead to a fast short squeeze.
Such a move, they note, might lead the digital asset to between $4,400 and $4,500 within hours. The asset has already shown aggressive momentum after surging from around $2,300 in mid 2025, pushing through several resistance points to challenge its current top.
Price Action and Resistance Levels
Ethereum’s latest rally began after breaching a key barrier near $3,550, which has since acted as solid support. This level previously acted as a peak during earlier consolidation phases.
ETH/USDT 1-day price chart, Source: Ash Crypto on X
Historical data shows $4,100 has repeatedly reversed price moves, most notably in March 2024 and December 2024. A sustained close above this would represent a significant technical change. The broader uptrend is intact while the asset holds above $3,550.
Technical Indicators Support Momentum
Ethereum broke free from a descending wedge pattern, leading to increased buying interest. At press time, ETH was trading at $4,186, a 6.34% surge in the past 24 hours. Bollinger Bands indicate strong bullish pressure, with price exceeding the upper band at $4,088.56.
ETH/USD 1-day price chart, Source: TradingView
The 20 day simple moving average at $3,740.30 offers immediate dynamic support. However, the RSI at 71.97 suggests an overbought outlook, hinting at a possible short term pullback.
Breakout Scenarios and Support Zones
Volume data shows recent bullish moves accompanied by increased activity, with approximately 14.43K ETH traded during the latest surge. If price sustains levels above $4,200, analysts project an advance toward $4,750 or even $5,200 in the medium term.
However, failure to hold above $4,100 could lead to a retest of $3,740 or deeper support at $3,392. Longer term sentiment is favorable as long as Ethereum trades above the $3,550 level, supported by recurring breakout patterns in its historical price cycles.
Ethereum current setup combines strong upward momentum with clear resistance challenges. While technical indicators hint at short term overextension, market outlook and historical behavior suggest further gains are possible if $4,100 is broken. Key support levels provide a safety for any pullback, keeping the broader bullish outlook intact.
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