The current price of Bitcoin is around $116,500. According to TradingView data, the price reached $116,482, down approximately 0.5% over the past twenty-four hours. According to LBank, the price is $116,405, with a daily decline of about 0.8%.
In technical analysis terms, InvestX (Investing.com) indicates that the price has surpassed the $116,000 mark, but the atmosphere remains fragile and may face wide fluctuations.
According to AInvest, there are estimates that the current price is still significantly below the "fair" value according to the Energy Value Metric model, with differences reaching 31% from the potential fair price.
Signs of potential bullish reversal
A technical pattern appears similar to what was seen in 2024, which preceded a roughly 50% price increase, indicating the possibility of a similar scenario if a strong catalyst like a new ETF or a clear technical breakout occurs.
ChatGPT’s BTC Analysis linked Trump's announcement regarding the inclusion of cryptocurrencies in 401(k) retirement accounts to the formation of a "coiled spring" at the $116,704 level, which could push the price towards $130,000–$140,000 in the event of delayed pressures.
Factors Influencing Upcoming Dynamics
Regulatory Environment: The potential expansion of cryptocurrency availability within retirement accounts may open the door to new large-scale liquidity.
Institutional Demand: Where investment funds in ETFs and growing institutional requests have supported the price and stimulated new bullish positions.
General Economic Outlook: Changes in interest rate policies, macroeconomic conditions, and stimulus programs are all factors capable of shifting market sentiment from one moment to another.
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Analytical Recommendation:
Short-term investors may find opportunities in clear technical breakouts or signals combining strength and institutional demand.
As for conservative investors, it is preferable for them to wait for a clear breakout confirmation (such as holding above $117,300–$117,600) before taking a strong buying position.