Current situation (August 8, 2025):
- Price: ~9.47–9.96 USD (based on data from CoinMarketCap, Binance, @cexscan).
- Context: UNI is the native governance token of Uniswap, a decentralized exchange (DEX) on Ethereum, launched in 2018 by Hayden Adams. The platform uses the AMM model (x*y=k), supports trading of ERC-20 tokens, liquidity through pools and Unichain L2 (launch in 2025). Market capitalization: ~5.7–6.0 billion USD (ranking ~21–33). Trading volume: ~262–644 million USD/24h. Circulating supply: ~600–628.7 million UNI, maximum: 1 billion. The price has fallen by ~78% from ATH (44.93 USD, May 2021), but has increased by ~0.71–4.73% over 24h (@Uniswap, @CoinGecko). TVL: ~832 million USD, growth of 1268% since April 2024 (@coindcx). Positive on X: launch of Unichain L2 (+40% volume), integration of smart wallets, increase in annual swaps to 719 million (@Uniswap). Criticism: unlocks, volatility (@Greta0086).
Technical forecast for 2026 (based on analytics):
- Prices:
- Optimistic: 20.05–52.00 USD (growth of 110–450%) in a bull market, growth in DeFi and Unichain.
- Neutral: 11.88–25.41 USD (growth of 25–170%).
- Pessimistic: 6.05–8.61 USD on correction or regulatory restrictions.
- Levels:
- Support: 8.76–9.30 USD, 6.05–7.50 USD.
- Resistance: 10.76–11.84 USD, 15.79–20.05 USD.
- Trend: Mixed. Daily chart bullish (RSI ~45–53, 50 MA above price, support at $7.50–8.20), but weekly RSI ~78 and decline of 8.42–9.7% over 7 days signal overbought (@CoinGecko, @binance). Breakout at 11.84 USD may raise the price to 15.79–20.05 USD, drop below 8.76 USD — to 6.05 USD. Forecasts: CoinCodex — 15.79–20.05 USD, Changelly — 28.11–34.59 USD, CoinDCX — 22–52 USD by 2026.
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- Ecosystem: Uniswap is the leader in DEX, TVL ~$832 million, 719 million annual swaps, Unichain L2 (volume ~$12 billion/month) and smart wallets enhance UX (@Uniswap). V3 (concentrated liquidity) and Fee Switch Vote (Q3 2025) enhance yield.
- Partnerships: Binance, Coinbase, OKX, Bybit, Gate.io, MEXC, Kraken, Chainlink. Investments from a16z, Polychain, Coinbase Ventures.
- Tokenomics: 60% of tokens in circulation, unlocks until 2028 (40% remain). Staking and governance through UNI.
- Community: Positive on X (@Uniswap, @CryptoMichNL), expectations of growth to $20–50 (@coinpedia). The DeFi market is growing (CAGR ~30% by 2030).
- Bitcoin halving (2024) and pro-crypto policies in the US (Trump, new SEC head Paul Atkins) support the market (@99Bitcoins).
- Risks:
- Regulation: SEC may classify UNI as a security.
- Volatility: drop of 9.7% over the week, capitalization (~6 billion USD) is vulnerable to whales (@CoinGecko).
- Unlocks: ~400 million UNI until 2028 may pressure the price (@benzinga).
- Competition: PancakeSwap, Curve, SushiSwap in DEX.
- Pessimism: WalletInvestor predicts $3.40–6.23 USD by 2025, TradingBeast — $0 (@swapspace).
Recommendation:
- Investors: Buy on correction to 8.76–9.30 USD, stop below 6.05 USD. Target: 15.79–25.00 USD. Staking for income.
- Traders: Buy on breakout at 11.84 USD, target 15.79–20.05 USD. Sell below 8.76 USD, target 6.05–7.50 USD.
- Risk: 0.5–1% of the deposit due to volatility, unlocks, and regulatory risks.
Risks: Regulation, competition, unlocks, whale manipulation, decline in interest in DeFi, fall in ETH. #UNI #Binance $UNI