TRX is showing a strong upward trend due to high demand for spot purchases, sustainable network activity, and low selling pressure, aiming for a new resistance threshold around $0.35.
TRON attracts a massive volume of USDT transactions, a dominant ratio of profitable holders, and explosive derivatives activity, opening up price increase prospects if it surpasses key technical resistance.
MAIN CONTENT
TRX maintains its upward trend with strong real buying demand, weak selling pressure, and the increasing deep participation of TRON network users.
Nearly 96% of TRX investors are in profit, with a dominant average transaction size, the ecosystem is maturing beyond small-value retail transactions.
As long as the price surpasses $0.35, TRX could approach the next Fibonacci extension mark at $0.371, with consensus from both the spot and derivatives markets.
TRON achieved a record USDT transaction last week: What truths are driving the ecosystem's development?
Last week, the TRON network recorded over 8.29 million USDT transactions, reflecting a strong adoption trend among both individual and institutional users, marking a new milestone in growth.
The recent growth primarily comes from average transactions of $101–1,000, accounting for nearly 39% of total activity, highlighting the trend of using TRON for remittances, freelancer payments, and native cryptocurrency e-commerce.
CryptoQuant, Market Report, 2025
Notably, the proportion of small-value transactions under $10 has decreased to only 5.63%, indicating that the TRON ecosystem is increasingly 'maturing,' gradually reducing the role of tiny transactions. Instead, applications in substantial financial activities are expanding, especially in the fields of remittances, digital service payments, and internal trade transactions using stablecoins. This is an important driver for strong demand for TRX, while also reinforcing the next major price increases.
These indicators indeed show that TRON goes beyond being just a cheap fee network primarily for small transfers, but has become a quality stablecoin payment platform with an increasingly expanding scale and depth of use, reflecting significant maturity of the ecosystem.
Can TRX break through as it approaches the strategic resistance area?
The price movement of TRON (TRX) from mid-June to now shows a steady increase, forming a parabolic curve from around $0.26 to $0.3393 at the time of the update.
If TRX surpasses the resistance range of $0.344–0.351 (Fibonacci zone 0.786 and previous rejection branches), the next target will be the Fibonacci extension area of 1.618 at $0.371. The bullish structure has been reinforced.
TradingView, Technical Analysis, August 2025
TRX is currently nearing the key resistance area of $0.344–0.351, where it has previously faced many rejections. If the bullish scenario continues, strong buying will push the index above this threshold, opening opportunities to approach the peak of $0.371. Conversely, if rejected here, the price may likely return to test the rising resistance level.
The strength of the rally depends on real demand and market consensus. Long-term participants and new investors will need to patiently 'ride the wave,' as any adjustments in this area could affect general sentiment as well as short-term price trends.
Does real demand in the spot market have enough strength to push TRX to new highs?
The 90-day Spot Taker CVD indicator clearly shows the strength of active buying, as the number of buyers participating in the spot market outnumbers sellers at all times.
When real buying demand (taker buy) dominates, it is a sign of natural accumulation, not due to short-term speculative effects from the derivatives market.
Spot Taker CVD Report, CryptoQuant, 2025
Unlike limit order activities, active buying orders (taker buy) show immediate demand for TRX ownership and high psychological commitment from investors. This creates a solid foundation for the continuation of the upward trend, especially if TRX turns resistance into solid support. Strong demand at the current price area also reinforces the belief that this rise is not merely a fleeting speculative effect.
The dominance of direct buying demand in the spot market is a decisive condition to establish a sustainable medium-term trend for TRX, while reflecting the community's faith in real value rather than just short-term speculation in derivatives or high leverage.
Does a high profit ratio reduce the risk of a sell-off on TRON?
The latest on-chain analysis shows that at the time of the survey, 96.38% of TRX holders are in profit – equivalent to over 90 billion TRX.
Only 2.92% of holders are at a loss at the current price level, indicating very little motive for sell-offs, making it easier to breach resistance if a breakout occurs.
IntoTheBlock Report, August 2025
The majority of TRX investors 'holding profits' creates a solid sentiment that encourages long-term holding. When most holders are profitable, the likelihood of a mass sell-off significantly decreases, especially at resistance levels – a factor that often puts pressure on profit-taking with unstable coins. Therefore, if TRX officially surpasses $0.35, there will almost certainly be no large holders looking to sell off aggressively, creating conditions for a smoother upward trend.
The positive sentiment of the community holding TRX is further reinforced as the ratio of 'underwater' holders drops to a record low, helping to eliminate panic sell risks and supporting cash flow focused on new price targets without facing significant resistance from selling pressure below.
Is the derivatives market a driver for the next upward movement of TRX?
Data from the derivatives market shows that trading volume increased by 11.77% to $355.86 million, while Open Interest (OI) rose by 6.82% to $554.16 million (at the time of the survey), emphasizing traders' confidence in the bullish trend.
Growth in Open Interest accompanied by large volumes demonstrates that the market is clearly betting on the upward momentum, rather than due to 'hesitation' effects or indecisive short-term trading.
CoinGlass, 'TRX Derivatives Data', August 2025
When OI – which measures the total open positions still active – increases significantly alongside trading volume, it is a sign that the derivatives market is not only increasing activity but also placing high expectations on breakout potential. However, it should also be noted that if the funding rate spikes and the margin loan ratio is too high, the risk of strong volatility will also increase, posing potential adjustments or sharp 'shaking' movements.
The blending of spot demand and speculative momentum from derivatives suggests that TRX's rise has a solid foundation from the two largest channels of market cash flow; however, maintaining heat in the short term will depend on psychological stability and the reasonable balance of leverage ratios, especially during strong volatility sessions.
Can TRX convert resistance into support, approaching the target of $0.371?
The driving force behind TRX's price continues to be reinforced by stable network activity, solid spot buying demand, active derivatives, and a dominant profit-holding ratio.
This context creates an ideal 'backyard' for TRX to maintain its growth, as long as demand continues steadily in both the spot and derivatives markets. If it surpasses $0.35 – the key resistance level – the next target will be around $0.371 based on Fibonacci extension, creating a significant breakthrough for the medium and long-term trend.
However, to achieve long-term stability, the investment community needs to closely monitor real-time developments and variables in the global market to avoid excessive FOMO and protect gains against sudden short-term volatility.
Comparing the market activities of spot and derivatives TRX: Is coordination determining the trend?
Comparing the data from the two largest trading channels with TRX over the past week shows strong coordination – the lifeblood of cash flow flowing into both real buys and speculative futures contracts.
Spot Value Index Highlighting USDT Transaction on TRON (1 week) 8.29 million transactions Extensive real-world applications, surpassing other networks in stablecoin volume Average transaction ratio (101–1,000 USD) ~39% of total transactions Growth momentum of the ecosystem Small transaction ratio (<10 USD) 5.63% Record low, reflecting the maturity of the network Profit holder ratio 96.38% Reduces the risk of early profit-taking, supports the upward trend Derivatives Open Interest $554.16 million Large cash flow betting on the upward trend Futures contract volume $355.86 million Investors enhancing activities across both channels
Strong consensus from both investor groups – spot and derivatives – creates a solid foundation for TRX's sustainable bullish trend.
What are the risk forecasts and investment opportunities with TRON in the current context?
With a dominant profit holder ratio, significant real buying momentum, and a lively derivatives market, TRX is in a favorable position to continue increasing in price if it surpasses the technical hurdle around $0.35. However, risks from funding rate volatility in derivatives, the possibility of strong fluctuations, or sudden sell-offs if the market reverses need to be particularly noted.
Experienced investors should flexibly manage risks, not go all-in at sensitive price levels, and combine monitoring technical indicators, market psychology, and related macro news.
Brian Rose, Cryptocurrency Financial Expert, Summer 2025, Interviewed by CoinTelegraph
The best-case scenario is for TRX to maintain support in the range of $0.344–0.35 before making a 'surprise' jump to the target of $0.371. However, if cash flow weakens or unforeseen negative factors emerge, investors need to maintain strict portfolio management discipline and be ready to act quickly on negative signals from the international market as well as the internal conditions of the TRON ecosystem.
Overview: What is driving a new direction for TRON and TRX?
Key factors driving the current trend of TRX include: stable network activity with overwhelming stablecoin transaction volumes, spot demand coming from a practical user base rather than just short-term speculation, a very high ratio of profitable investors limiting the risk of a sell-off, and the 'reinforcement' of cash flow from derivatives further boosting momentum.
The importance of technical support/resistance areas like $0.344–0.351 and $0.371 plays a guiding role for both the medium and long term. To maintain sustainable growth momentum, TRON needs to continue expanding its ecosystem, attract new cash flows, and strengthen community confidence with outstanding payment and remittance products based on stablecoins – a sector TRON leads in both coverage and growth speed in Asia and globally in the first half of 2025.
Experienced investors advise to 'not FOMO,' maintain a solid risk management plan, and allocate portfolios reasonably. The ability to analyze on-chain data, flexibly combine technical factors, psychological aspects, and macro trends will determine each individual's success as the cryptocurrency market enters new historical price thresholds.
Frequently asked questions about the current TRON (TRX) trend
Is TRX really attracting real users or just speculative effects?
TRON attracts millions of stablecoin transactions each week, with a dominant average transaction size, affirming real demand and wide application, no longer merely a speculative effect.
If TRX surpasses the $0.35 mark, what is the next price outlook?
If it conquers the $0.35 area with sustained demand, the Fibonacci extension area of $0.371 will be the next target based on practical technical analysis.
What impact does the high profit ratio of TRX investors have on the trend?
About 96% of holders in profit help reduce the risk of sell-offs, support steady upward momentum, and create a solid foundation if a strong price increase occurs.
What factors could hinder TRX's upward trend?
The risk of derivatives volatility, a sudden spike in funding rates, weakening cash flow, or negative macro events could lead to significant adjustments or fluctuations in TRX's price.
Should I invest in TRX at this time?
The market is favorable for price increases, but investors need to closely monitor important technical areas, apply professional risk management, and always adhere to personal investment plans.
What do the figures on spot and derivatives trading volumes mean?
When both spot volume and derivatives OI increase, it is a signal of confidence and strong cash flow coordination supporting a solid upward price trend for TRX.
Does the decrease in small transaction volumes have any negative impact?
Conversely, the decrease in small transaction rates proves that the TRON ecosystem is maturing, attracting larger value transactions and increasing real-world applications globally.
Source: https://tintucbitcoin.com/trx-va-trien-vong-cham-moc-037-usd/
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