Several Fed officials have recently stated they might need to keep rates higher for a longer period to ensure inflation stays down.

✅ Upcoming FOMC Meeting Dates:

September 17–18, 2025

November 5, 2025

December 16–17, 2025

👉 The first interest rate cut is most likely in September or November, provided inflation continues to decline sufficiently.

🔍 Key indicators the Fed is monitoring before making a decision:

1. CPI (Consumer Price Index) – Needs to move closer to the 2% target.

2. PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) – The Fed’s preferred inflation measure.

3. Unemployment rate – An increase may pressure the Fed to ease policy.

4. GDP growth – A slowdown could push the Fed toward rate cuts.
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