You can make predictions, but do not bet on the results of those predictions. What you can do is prepare for various possible countermeasures. The best way to prevent minor fluctuations from hitting the stop-loss line is not to take a large position all at once.
When closing a position, what questions need to be considered?
When you want to close a position, think about why you want to do so, what the reasons are. Is it because you have achieved the planned goal, or is there some issue? Should you take profits early on a profitable position? These should all be carefully analyzed and thought through.
