A Half-Position Compound Trading Guide Based on Eight Years of Practical Experience in the Cryptocurrency Market
After eight years of ups and downs in the cryptocurrency space, I have gradually accumulated my assets from just a few tens of thousands to over ten million.
1. Risk Control Pyramid (Core Survival Rule)
Five-tier dynamic position: Initial capital is divided into 5 independent combat units, each unit is allocated 20% of the total capital (e.g., 200,000 for a 1 million account at one time)
Two-dimensional stop-loss mechanism: ① Maximum loss per trade ≤ 2% of principal (total capital 10% × 20% position) ② Price retracement hard stop-loss = 10% of entry price (dynamically tracked)
Three-layer profit protection net: ① 10% breakeven line (moves up after breakthrough) ② 20% floating profit taking ③ Trend destruction exit (EMA30 crosses down)
2. MACD Volume Timing Model (Accurately Capturing Major Uptrends)
Golden Cross Filter: Daily MACD double line forms a golden cross above the zero axis (excludes false signals)
Volume-price resonance verification: ① Breakthrough stage trading volume > 200% of the average of the previous five days ② Volume sustained > EMA20 (attached TD sequence confirmation)
Three-cycle resonance rule: Weekly EMA30 uptrend + Daily EMA5 golden cross EMA10 + 4-hour BOLL band breakout
3. Trend Level Defense System
Prohibited chase zone: ① 24h price increase > 35% ② RSI(14) > 85 ③ Trading volume surges 5 times (major selling signal)
Trend level warning:
▶ Danger zone: EMA7/EMA30 death cross + ATR expansion (mandatory reduction of 50%)
▶ Observation zone: EMA30 flat + volatility < 20% (maintain 10% base position)
▶ Offensive zone: Three moving averages in bullish arrangement (EMA7 > EMA30 > EMA84)
4. Institutional-Level Volume Decoding Technique
Bottom building characteristics: ① Continuous 5 days of volume ladder amplification ② OBV indicator breaks previous high ③ Funding rate remains negative
Top exit signals: ① Volume increases while price stagnates (3-day volume > EMA20 but price fluctuation < 5%) ② Perpetual contract funding rate > 0.15% ③ Exchange net inflow surges
5. Three-Dimensional Review System (Daily 45 Minutes of Improvement)
Strategic layer review: Weekly TD sequence / Monthly MACD pattern / Quarterly Gann angle line
Tactical layer check: ① Position currency EMA arrangement ② Rate of change in volatility ③ Derivative open interest
Execution layer optimization: ① Stop-loss trigger accuracy statistics ② Trend continuation cycle records ③ Dynamic adjustment of profit-loss ratio
