Fuxiang Prediction | In-depth Analysis of Cryptocurrency
Last night, Trump dropped three 'financial nuclear bomb' news on CNBC:
1: High tariffs on drugs + chips, global risk aversion demand soars, should push BTC's value as 'digital gold';
2: The Federal Reserve may change to a hawkish chair, which should ignite the logic of 'monetary policy turning point' and drive up cryptocurrency prices;
3: Vice President Vance comes to the fore, with the cryptocurrency industry listed as a national strategic asset, directly introducing the concept of 'Bitcoin national team'...
Almost 100% good news, yet the reality is: the market does not rise, but instead plunges?!
Why is the market indifferent to such strong good news, even choosing to sell off?
Let Lao Chen analyze it for you in detail:
1. Good news realization = capital outflow? Wrong! This time it's 'the main force suppressing the market to accumulate positions.'
According to last night's news, it should have triggered a surge. However, the market chose to open low, oscillate, and then plunge, which is not 'good news realization', but the activation of 'strong pressure + market washing'!
The reasons are very realistic:
The main force hasn’t accumulated enough chips: Last night's good news triggered rapid FOMO sentiment, and short-term retail investors began to enter the market, but the main force certainly won't pull the market up just to give you money.
Wash out floating positions, waiting for the next wave: taking advantage of good news to execute a 'false breakout + real dump', cleaning up the chasing high positions, and then waiting for an opportunity to push back is the most classic script.
2. Key levels have not been broken on the technical side, and the 'final wash' must occur before any rebound.
It’s not just about the news; technical aspects also need to cooperate:
Last night, BTC peaked near the daily descending trend line;
ETH also failed to stabilize above the key resistance of 3600;
Observation of the overall market fund flow shows that short positions in contracts have increased significantly, but spot trading has not seen a noticeable exit, indicating that the market is accumulating strength, not fleeing.
3. The main force 'counter-emotion operation', superficially negative but actually deeply washing the market.
The current market is not hard to understand, but rather too emotionally aware.
Trump has officially taken office, promoting cryptocurrency, suppressing the Federal Reserve, and supporting miners. These are all real benefits — but why isn't the market rising?
Because this is exactly the main force's common counter-emotion operation technique.
Taking advantage of the high retail sentiment, the main force sells to create panic, washing out the chasing high positions.
As soon as the good news was released, long positions in the contract market surged, while institutions used small amounts of capital to short, amplifying volatility to eat away at leveraged positions;
On the surface, it seems like 'good news has been fully realized', but in essence, it's the main force controlling the market under capital misallocation!
Don't forget, it's the era of institutional dominance; retail investors judge the market based on news, while the main force creates the market based on emotions.
Summary of Lao Chen's views + operational strategies:
Last night's stagnation does not mean the good news was ineffective, but rather that the main force was controlling the rhythm and suppressing emotions. This wave of good news will become the 'igniter' for future market trends.
Although the market fluctuated wildly last night, the price ultimately returned to the starting point without forming a unilateral trend, indicating that the market is still building strength and waiting to take off. Lao Chen predicts that there is a high probability of a small rebound tonight, and everyone can seize some short-term opportunities.
BTC key focus today:
$114,210 vicinity is currently under high resistance pressure.
The $118,000–$120,000 area has previously formed strong resistance (previous high range), and the short-term upward movement is being constrained.
There is potential support near $109,000, and Cointelegraph analyzes that it may pull back to this area in the short term.
Strategy Suggestions:
If the price stabilizes in the current $114,000–$114,500 range, actively watch for rebound opportunities.
If it falls below $113,000–$112,800 (which is a short-term support level), switch to wait-and-see mode, waiting for a pullback confirmation before considering buying the dip.
If it breaks down with volume below the $109,000 support zone, one should reduce positions or liquidate, waiting for a more stable lower position to choose an entry point.
ETH key focus today:
3615 is the key level for bulls and bears.
If it can effectively stabilize, look for two short-term resistances: 3677 and 3736;
If it breaks down, the support below to watch is the 3550 level.
Strategy Suggestions:
Stabilizing above 3615 to watch for rebound opportunities.
If the price pulls back to 3550 and does not break, you can boldly buy the dip, betting on a short-term rebound;
If there is a volume break below 3550, then reduce positions, wait for a more stable signal at a lower level, and do not blindly catch the bottom!
One last heartfelt statement: the market is not afraid of sharp declines, but of lacking direction. Strategies must come first in order to truly benefit during fluctuations. Follow Lao Chen for daily entry strategies to get ahead; his articles do not exaggerate or make empty promises, but teach you practical survival skills.#加密市场回调 #BTC走势分析 #ETH走势分析
