**XRP** is repeating technical patterns from its early 2025 rally, pointing to a potential surge toward the **\$3.75–\$4.00** range.

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### **Key Takeaways:**

* XRP is mirroring a bullish fractal that led to a **70% rally** earlier this year.

* Price eyes a **20% breakout** from a falling wedge, targeting **\$3.75** in August.

* XRPL growth and **stablecoin activity** bolster bullish momentum.

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## **XRP Falling Wedge Hints at 20% Rally in August**

Between **December and January**, XRP consolidated inside a **falling wedge pattern** while holding firm above its **50-day exponential moving average** (**50-day EMA**; red wave).

The pattern resolved with a **breakout to the upside** in early January, reclaiming the **20-day EMA** (purple wave) as support and fueling a **70% price surge** — from around **\$2** to above **\$3.39** — within weeks.

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## **Current August Setup**

As of August, XRP is **consolidating within a falling wedge** after a steep rally, while **bouncing from its 50-day EMA** and flipping the **20-day EMA back into support**.

In both cases, XRP’s **Relative Strength Index (RSI)** pulled back sharply from overbought levels and stabilized near 50 — a reset that **preceded the January breakout**.

These **similar patterns suggest XRP could be on the verge of another strong upward move**.

As of Tuesday, XRP is testing the **wedge’s upper trendline** for a potential **breakout toward \$3.75**, a move representing **20%+ upside from current price levels**.

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## **Possible Rejection and Risk Levels**

A **rejection at the upper trendline** could delay the breakout, leading XRP to **retest the 50-day EMA as support**.

> ⚠️ If XRP closes below that level, it risks a drop toward the wedge’s apex near the **200-day EMA around \$2.34**.

However, **some analysts expect XRP to break above \$4 this cycle**, driven by:

* **Whale accumulation**

* A potential **Federal Reserve rate cut** in September, which could **boost overall risk appetite**

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## **On-Chain Fundamentals Remain Robust**

* Ripple’s **XRP Ledger** processed **over 70 million transactions in July 2025**

* More than **1 million new accounts** have been created in 2025 so far

*(Data Source: Dune Analytics)*

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## **XRPL Stablecoin Ecosystem Expansion**

* **Braza Bank (Brazil)** issued over **\$4.2 million** worth of its **BBRL stablecoin** on XRPL in July

* This made it the **second-largest BRL stablecoin**, behind Transfero Group’s BRZ

In the **US**, activity around **Ripple’s RLUSD** has:

* **Surged** from \~5,000 to **12,000 daily transfers** in just a month

These trends **strengthen XRPL’s utility narrative**, reinforcing the **bullish sentiment** that supports XRP’s price rally toward the **\$3.75–\$4.00** range.

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📝 *Disclaimer: This article does not contain investment advice. Every trading move involves risk. Do your own research.*

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