Total liquidation of contracts? The key is not understanding the essence of trading! Low-risk rules distilled from ten years of trading experience help you avoid traps:
Three major truths that overturn conventional wisdom
Leverage ≠ Risk: Actual risk = Leverage multiple × Position ratio. Using 1% position with 100 times leverage, the risk is only equivalent to 1% fully invested in spot market.
Stop-loss ≠ Loss: Not setting a stop-loss for a single loss exceeding 5% is a common issue for 78% of liquidated accounts during the 312 crash in 2024. Professional rule: Single loss ≤ 2% of capital, like installing a 'fuse' for the account.
Rolling positions ≠ All-in: Building positions in steps is safer, starting with 10% for trial, then adding 10% of profits to increase position size, which can expand gains while improving safety margins.
Institution-level risk control model
Dynamic position formula: Total position ≤ (Capital × 2%) / (Stop-loss range × Leverage multiple). Example: 50,000 capital, 2% stop-loss, 10 times leverage, maximum position is 5,000 yuan.
Three-step profit-taking method: Close 1/3 of the position at 20% profit, close another 1/3 at 50% profit, exit remaining positions when breaking the 5-day line.
Hedging insurance mechanism: Use 1% of capital to buy Put options while holding positions, which can hedge 80% of extreme risk.
Deadly traps
Holding positions for 4 hours increases liquidation probability to 92%; high-frequency trading monthly loss of 24% of capital; 83% of accounts that did not take timely profits returned profits.
Mathematical expression of the essence of trading
Expected profit = (Win rate × Average profit) - (Loss rate × Average loss). Setting 2% stop-loss, 20% profit-taking, and a 34% win rate can yield positive returns.
Ultimate rule
Single loss ≤ 2%, annual trades ≤ 20, profit-loss ratio ≥ 3:1, 70% of the time in cash waiting.
Remember: Control losses, and profits will come. Replace emotional decision-making with a mechanical trading system; living longer is more important than making money quickly!
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