The news front is the money printer in the crypto world! Are you still only staring at K-lines drawing charts? The big players have already smelled the policy winds and are feasting!" Last night, ETH's violent rise from 3570 to 3730 was a super red envelope for 'news believers'!
I am the Captain, an old hunter who has been in the cryptocurrency world for 8 years relying on 'policy intuition'. Last night's market movement seemed like a technical breakthrough on the surface, but it was actually driven by 'hidden news forces'. Let me break down the three core logics for you, and you'll be able to lay low for the next wave too!
1. The US stock market opening high is the 'starting gun', and ETH is directly pushed by large funds like a rocket!
Last night at 9:30, the US Dow and NASDAQ both opened high at 1.2%, and large funds' risk appetite instantly surged! ETH, as a 'volatility monster' (high Beta asset), was immediately targeted—3570 key level? It was directly blown away by the money flow!
Captain's personal view: When the macro environment warms up, the main forces will not give you a chance to 'slowly board the train'! Just like last October's US stock rebound, ETH rose 40% in two weeks; by the time retail investors reacted, the tail lights were nowhere to be seen. Remember: In a bull market, 'hesitation leads to defeat' is an iron law!
2. Trump's 'tariff stick' comes to stir up trouble again, and risk-averse funds rush into the crypto world!
In the middle of the night, Trump suddenly declared: "We will impose a 50% tariff on Indian goods!" As soon as this guy opens his mouth, the global market collectively quickens its heartbeat—risk aversion + supply chain worries, where will hot money flow?
Bitcoin and ETH, these 'digital gold', have become temporary safe havens, and the 3660 resistance level? It was broken in seconds!
Captain's Case: Last August, Trump threatened to impose tariffs on China, and BTC skyrocketed 12% in a single day, with ETH rising 15%. History repeatedly proves: geopolitical black swans are the 'money-making opportunities' in the crypto world!
Key reminder: Don't chase high in such markets! Wait for the news to land, and funds will quickly withdraw; the pullback is the real opportunity (like today).
3. Federal Reserve's Daly 'doves', interest rate cut expectations shot up!
At 4 AM, San Francisco Fed President Daly dropped a heavy bomb: "Interest rate cuts are imminent, possibly more than twice!" What does this statement weigh?
Federal Reserve officials personally endorse, and the market instantly prices in 'rate cuts in September'!
With expectations of a weaker dollar and a flood of liquidity, risk assets like ETH were pushed directly to 3730!
Captain's Core Logic: Trading cryptocurrencies, especially mainstream coins, requires a keen eye on the Federal Reserve's words! When they cough, the crypto world catches a cold; when they sneeze, the crypto world has a fever!
Data evidence: In March 2020, the Federal Reserve announced unlimited QE, BTC surged from 5000 dollars to 60,000 dollars, and ETH rose 20 times! During the interest rate cut cycle, cryptocurrencies are the main course of the 'liquidity feast'!
Today's exclusive forecast from the Captain: There will definitely be a 'golden pit' before 3800, and a pullback is just an opportunity to pick up people!
ETH is now hovering around 3700, and many people are conflicted: chase? Afraid of getting trapped; don't chase? Afraid of missing out.
Captain decides: There will definitely be a pullback today, but this is an opportunity for the 'second entry' towards 3800!
Why?
Short-term surge too rapid: nearly 200 points in 12 hours, the technical aspect is severely overbought, profit-taking will hammer down the price, and the big players will wash the positions.
Key resistance level: 3800 is both psychological and technical dual resistance, the main forces need to gather strength to break through.
"Buy expectations, sell facts" strategy: Interest rate cut expectations are the current driving force behind the rise, but when it actually happens (like in September), it could turn good news into bad news. Right now, we are still in the 'buy expectations' phase; pullbacks are just opportunities to pick up people!
Captain's Case: Last night, based on the signal of 'US stocks opening high + Trump causing trouble', I placed long orders in advance at the 3570 breakout level and 3660 pullback level. Although I didn't capture the full rise, I steadily secured profits from two waves. Trading cryptocurrencies is not gambling; it's about identifying signals, hitting the right positions, and making probabilities work for you!
"3800 is just the starting point! Once the interest rate cut cycle is confirmed, ETH's target is 5000 dollars! But the key is—can you avoid today’s 'golden pit' washout and accurately buy the dip?" Still going solo? Still worried about when to enter the market! There are no gods in the crypto world, only smart people who can read signals. The Captain's articles do not boast or paint illusions; they only teach you practical survival skills. Follow @船长趋势 , for daily entry strategies, and know in advance #加密市场反弹 .
