#BTCReserveStrategy

Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis – August 2025 Update

#BTCReserveStrategy

Current Price: ~$115,022

Intraday High: $115,666

Intraday Low: $114,196

24h Change: +$790 (+0.69%)

🔧 Technical Overview

Trend: Bullish momentum persists; 50-day and 200-day MAs continue acting as support.

RSI: Neutral (30–70), leaving room for movement in either direction.

Pattern: Inverse head and shoulders suggests a breakout target near $133K, contingent on BTC holding $114K+.

Price Model: “Power of 3” model indicates price compression before a potential breakout to $126K, once $115.3K–$116.8K resistance clears.

📊 Fundamental Insights

1. Institutional & Regulatory Drivers

– Growing institutional interest via spot Bitcoin ETFs fuels demand.

– U.S. signals support for BTC as a strategic reserve asset, increasing investor confidence.

2. Macro Trends

– Fed holds interest rates at 4.25%–4.50%, with possible future cuts.

– Neutral stance supports risk-on assets like Bitcoin as an inflation hedge.

📈 Analyst Price Forecasts

Source/Model2025 TargetNotesJohn Glover (Elliott Wave)~$140,000Followed by correction in 2026Global X ETF Projection~$200,000Based on ETF-driven flowsEconomic Times Crypto Forecast~$250,000Reflecting adoption & scarcityChangelly / CoinCodex~$116,700Stability expected in short-term

⚠️ Risks to Monitor

– Arthur Hayes warns of drop to $100K if U.S. macro data declines.

– Failure to sustain $115K–$116K could push BTC toward $110K–$104K range.

✅ Final Take

BTC outlook remains bullish mid-term.

Strong fundamentals (ETF flows, institutional confidence, macro support) align with technical signals.

Target range: $125K–$140K by late 2025.

High-end projections touch $200K–$250K, but downside risk remains — stay alert to macro shifts.