🔄 Is Altseason Happening Now?

✅ Early Indicators

Bitcoin dominance recently rejected 73%, now declining toward 60%—a pattern reminiscent of 2021’s alt season start.

The Altcoin Season Index has surged from ~12 to ~50 since June, signaling early rotation—but it's not yet above the 75 threshold needed for a full altcycle.

Select altcoins like SOL, ADA, XRP, DOGE, XLM have outperformed, and ETH futures volume has nearly matched BTC futures—another key signal.

$BTC

$ETH

$SOL

🚧 What’s Not Yet Confirmed

Fewer than 75% of top alts have outpaced Bitcoin over the past 90 days—meaning we remain in early Phase 3 (large-cap alt rotation), not yet the speculative frenzy of Phase 4.

⚙️ Why This Matters

Historical cycles show altseason gains typically begin after BTC dominance declines, especially once ETH outperforms.

Current macro drivers include money supply growth (M2), BTC consolidation, ETF flows into ETH, and broader liquidity rotation—all pushing toward alt strength.

✅ Summary Table

Indicator Status Implication

Bitcoin Dominance Falling (~60%) Capital rotating to altcoins

Alt Season Index ~50 (up) Market in early alt phase

ETH Futures & Alt Outperformance Rising Large-cap altcoin momentum

🔭 What to Watch Next

Alt Season Index > 75 → confirmation of full altseason

BTC dominance falling toward 50–55% → broader capital shift

ETH outperforming BTC → gateway rotation into alts

ETF flows and altcoin TVL growth moving higher

➡️ DYOR .

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